StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Groningen v Fortuna Sittard

Matchstart: 2026-08-28 18:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Groningen (Hemma)

Prognos 63.03%1.59rättvist odds
EV -1.04%
Fördel -0.663%
Kelly -1.82%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
60.68%62.94%63.11%64.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.431.481.491.5769.93%67.36%67.11%63.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fortuna Sittard (Borta)

Prognos 16.25%6.15rättvist odds
EV +4.02%
Fördel +0.628%
Kelly +0.744%
Tillväxt +0.030%

med antagandet om högsta odds 6.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
14.78%16.28%16.17%17.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.005.705.726.4020.00%17.55%17.47%15.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 20.72%4.83rättvist odds
EV -1.60%
Fördel -0.337%
Kelly -0.427%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.86%20.78%20.71%21.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.464.504.7525.00%22.40%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Groningen (Hemma): 63.03%; Fortuna Sittard (Borta): 16.25%; Oavgjort: 20.72%. För Fortuna Sittard (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.15. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 6.40, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.02%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +4.02%E +0.628%K +0.744%G +0.030%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 17:45
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +4.02%E +0.628%K +0.744%G +0.030%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.05%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.66%EV +0.119%E +0.019%K +0.023%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.29%EV -6.16%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.58%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-28 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.58%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-28 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.31%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 17:50
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.41%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 15:30
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.00%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 16:44
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 09:15
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.30%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 16:05
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.10%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 09:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 09:15
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 17:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 15:05
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.50%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV -7.36%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:45
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.87%EV -1.04%E -0.663%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.19%EV -8.17%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.94%EV -3.88%E -0.837%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:49
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:50
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:49
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 17:55
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 17:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.11%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -9.86%E -6.90%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.86%E -6.90%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.09%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.87%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.57%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -15.48%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.73%E -3.75%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-28 17:05
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.73%E -3.75%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.14%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-28 17:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-08-28 14:55
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-28 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-28 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-28 17:50
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-08-28 17:35