Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.40
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Groningen (Local): 63.03%; Fortuna Sittard (Visitante): 16.25%; Empate: 20.72%. Para Fortuna Sittard (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.15. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.02%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +4.02%E +0.628%K +0.744%G +0.030% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +4.02%E +0.628%K +0.744%G +0.030% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.05%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.16I 16.23%NM 15.66%EV +0.119%E +0.019%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.29%EV -6.16%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.58%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.58%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.31%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.41%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 15:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.00%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 16:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-28 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.30%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.10%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 15:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 09:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 17:43 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-28 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 16:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.50%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV -7.36%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.87%EV -1.04%E -0.663%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.19%EV -8.17%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.94%EV -3.88%E -0.837%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 17:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 17:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-28 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.11%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-28 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -9.86%E -6.90%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.86%E -6.90%K -22.94%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.09%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.87%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.57%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -15.48%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-28 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.73%E -3.75%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-28 17:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.73%E -3.75%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.14%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 17:35 |