Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Groningen v Fortuna Sittard

Начало: 2026-08-28 18:00 UTC

Итог: Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Groningen (Хозяева)

Прогноз 63.03%1.59справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.04%
Преимущество -0.663%
Kelly -1.82%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.57

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.68%62.94%63.11%64.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.431.481.491.5769.93%67.36%67.11%63.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Fortuna Sittard (Гости)

Прогноз 16.25%6.15справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.02%
Преимущество +0.628%
Kelly +0.744%
Рост +0.030%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
14.78%16.28%16.17%17.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.705.726.4020.00%17.55%17.47%15.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 20.72%4.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.60%
Преимущество -0.337%
Kelly -0.427%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.86%20.78%20.71%21.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.464.504.7525.00%22.40%22.22%21.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Groningen (Хозяева): 63.03%; Fortuna Sittard (Гости): 16.25%; Ничья: 20.72%. Для исхода «Fortuna Sittard (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.15. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.40, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.02%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +4.02%E +0.628%K +0.744%G +0.030%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 17:45
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +4.02%E +0.628%K +0.744%G +0.030%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.05%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.66%EV +0.119%E +0.019%K +0.023%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.29%EV -6.16%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.58%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-28 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.58%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-28 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.31%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 17:50
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.41%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 15:30
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.00%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 16:44
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 09:15
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.30%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 16:05
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.10%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 09:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 09:15
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 17:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 15:05
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.50%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV -7.36%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:45
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.87%EV -1.04%E -0.663%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.19%EV -8.17%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.94%EV -3.88%E -0.837%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:49
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:50
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:49
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 17:55
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 17:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.11%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -9.86%E -6.90%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.86%E -6.90%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.09%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.87%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.57%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -15.48%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.73%E -3.75%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-28 17:05
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.73%E -3.75%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.14%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-28 17:45
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-08-28 14:55
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-28 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-28 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-28 17:50
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-08-28 17:35