Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Groningen v Fortuna Sittard

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-28 18:00 UTC

Score final : Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Groningen (Local)

Prévision 63.03%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.663%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.68%62.94%63.11%64.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.481.491.5769.93%67.36%67.11%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.25%6.15cote équitable
EV +4.02%
Avantage +0.628%
Kelly +0.744%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 6.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.78%16.28%16.17%17.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.705.726.4020.00%17.55%17.47%15.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.72%4.83cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.337%
Kelly -0.427%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.86%20.78%20.71%21.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.464.504.7525.00%22.40%22.22%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Groningen (Local) : 63.03% ; Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur) : 16.25% ; Match nul : 20.72%. Pour Fortuna Sittard (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.15. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.40, soit une espérance positive de +4.02%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +4.02%E +0.628%K +0.744%G +0.030%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 17:45
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +4.02%E +0.628%K +0.744%G +0.030%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.05%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.66%EV +0.119%E +0.019%K +0.023%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.29%EV -6.16%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.58%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-28 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.58%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.95%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.48%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-28 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -4.82%E -3.19%K -9.46%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -0.856%E -0.140%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.31%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-28 17:50
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.41%EV -3.56%E -2.33%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.42%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-28 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 15:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 15:30
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.56%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 15:30
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.00%EV -4.19%E -2.76%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.96%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV -5.75%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 16:44
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 17:34
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.17%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.00%EV -1.60%E -0.337%K -0.427%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-28 09:15
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -2.48%E -0.414%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.30%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 16:05
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.10%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-28 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.83%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -5.73%E -0.988%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 17:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 09:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 09:15
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 17:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 15:05
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-28 17:10
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -6.54%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 16:05
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.50%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.34%EV -7.36%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-28 17:45
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.87%EV -1.04%E -0.663%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.19%EV -8.17%E -1.45%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.94%EV -3.88%E -0.837%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-28 17:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.74%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.05%EV -6.71%E -4.54%K -13.99%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.29%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:49
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:50
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.61%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.98%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 17:49
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 17:55
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.13%EV -6.08%E -4.08%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 17:50
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -5.45%E -3.63%K -10.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-28 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:55
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.61%E -1.93%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.11%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.91%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -9.86%E -6.90%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.60%EV -9.86%E -6.90%K -22.94%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -12.23%E -2.27%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-28 17:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.76%EV -7.34%E -5.00%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -10.92%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -8.60%E -5.93%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.94%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.13%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.09%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.87%EV -13.86%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-28 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.57%EV -7.97%E -5.46%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -15.48%E -2.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -4.71%E -1.02%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-28 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.73%E -3.75%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.85%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-28 17:05
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -9.23%E -6.41%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.73%E -3.75%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -17.14%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-28 17:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.33%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%0.9%2026-08-28 14:55
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-08-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-28 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-28 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.00%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%1.1%2026-08-28 17:50
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-08-28 17:35