Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Go Ahead Eagles v Willem II

Początek: 2026-08-08 16:45 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Willem II

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Go Ahead Eagles (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 62.07%1.61kurs godziwy
EV -3.78%
Przewaga -2.44%
Kelly -6.88%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
58.06%61.92%61.91%63.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.431.501.501.5569.93%66.66%66.67%64.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Willem II (Goście)

Prognoza 16.11%6.21kurs godziwy
EV +0.706%
Przewaga +0.113%
Kelly +0.134%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.92%16.28%16.11%19.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.735.756.2522.22%17.47%17.39%16.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 21.81%4.58kurs godziwy
EV +0.557%
Przewaga +0.121%
Kelly +0.154%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.61

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.55%21.80%21.98%23.46%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.884.254.254.6125.77%23.55%23.53%21.69%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Go Ahead Eagles (Gospodarze): 62.07%; Willem II (Goście): 16.11%; Remis: 21.81%. Dla wyniku Willem II (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 6.21. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 6.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.706%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.60%EV -7.51%E -5.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -9.48%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.88%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.45%EV +0.062%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.67%EV -7.73%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.65%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -0.100%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 16:35
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.83%EV -1.07%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.08%EV +0.557%E +0.121%K +0.154%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-08 16:39
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:48
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:29
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.59%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -9.48%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:39
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:39
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 16:29
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:24
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:24
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 14:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.55%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:30
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.14%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.28%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.46%EV -15.37%E -3.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 16:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:49
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.55%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:29
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -7.51%E -5.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:25
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.82%EV -11.23%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 16:38
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.30%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -12.99%E -2.41%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -13.84%E -3.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.41%EV -11.23%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -14.60%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.41%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -17.82%E -3.49%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.29%EV -9.37%E -6.42%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -27.49%E -6.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 14:14
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 64.04%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.99%0.1%2026-08-08 16:20
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-08-08 16:40