L’École des cotes

Go Ahead Eagles v Willem II

2026-08-08 16:45 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Go Ahead Eagles (Local)

Prévision 56.79%1.76cote équitable
EV -4.59%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -6.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.32%56.98%56.68%59.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.631.641.6868.03%61.34%60.98%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Willem II (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.26%4.94cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.258%
Kelly +0.323%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.70%20.10%20.35%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.534.605.0025.64%22.07%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.95%4.36cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.306%
Kelly -0.399%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.74%22.92%22.97%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.953.904.3027.78%25.29%25.64%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -10.84%E -6.90%K -19.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +1.29%E +0.258%K +0.323%G +0.004%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -1.32%E -0.306%K -0.399%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 12:19
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.91%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.26%EV +1.09%E +0.218%K +0.273%G +0.003%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.83%EV -3.38%E -0.803%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 23:18
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 58.81%EV -8.56%E -5.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.01%EV +0.885%E +0.178%K +0.222%G +0.002%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.17%EV -2.00%E -0.469%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 12:15
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.41%EV -8.56%E -5.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -0.735%E -0.150%K -0.189%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.61%E -0.860%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-22 12:12
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.98%EV -8.56%E -5.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.25%EV -1.75%E -0.360%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 23:10
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -8.56%E -5.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -2.76%E -0.575%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 09:05
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -8.56%E -5.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -2.76%E -0.575%K -0.727%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 01:03
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.47%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV -3.77%E -0.795%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -1.32%E -0.306%K -0.399%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-22 12:14
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.84%E -6.90%K -19.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -3.77%E -0.795%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-22 12:14
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -8.56%E -5.32%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.74%EV -4.79%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 12:14
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.46%EV -4.59%E -2.73%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.40%EV -5.80%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 12:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.46%EV -4.59%E -2.73%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.40%EV -5.80%E -1.25%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 12:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.61%E -0.860%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 05:40
Betr (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -4.59%E -2.73%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-24 16:44
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.49%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -3.61%E -0.860%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 05:40
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 11:35
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 11:35
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 11:34
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 11:35
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 11:34
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 11:34
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 11:34
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 11:34
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 11:34
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.16%E -3.09%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 11:35
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.08%EV -7.43%E -4.56%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 16:44
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.81%E -1.48%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.91%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 16:45
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -4.59%E -2.73%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.84%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.61%E -0.860%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-24 16:40
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.84%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 12:14
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.84%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 12:14
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.84%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 12:14
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.29%E -3.81%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.84%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 12:14
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -6.86%E -4.18%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -8.84%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -9.35%E -2.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-22 12:14
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.00%E -4.94%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -8.84%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.50%E -2.69%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 12:10
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -9.13%E -5.71%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.86%E -2.47%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.20%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -9.13%E -5.71%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.86%E -2.47%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.20%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-24 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.49%EV -6.86%E -4.18%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.03%EV -13.90%E -3.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -16.23%E -4.45%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 11:34
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.49%EV -6.86%E -4.18%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.03%EV -13.90%E -3.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -16.23%E -4.45%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.49%EV -6.86%E -4.18%K -10.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.03%EV -13.90%E -3.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -16.23%E -4.45%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 11:35
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.08%EV -11.40%E -7.31%K -20.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -13.90%E -3.27%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -13.94%E -3.72%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-24 16:50
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -9.13%E -5.71%K -15.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.79%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-22 12:15
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 54.32%EV -7.43%E -4.56%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.08%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -17.38%E -4.83%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-23 11:34
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 57.05%EV -16.52%E -11.24%K -35.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.97%EV -14.92%E -3.55%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 22.98%EV -16.23%E -4.45%K -6.13%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-25 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.30%EV -10.84%E -6.90%K -19.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.92%EV -15.93%E -3.84%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.78%EV -16.23%E -4.45%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-24 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.83%EV -11.40%E -7.31%K -20.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.24%EV -16.94%E -4.13%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.92%EV -12.79%E -3.37%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-22 12:14
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 54.69%EV -10.84%E -6.90%K -19.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -18.97%E -4.74%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85%EV -17.38%E -4.83%K -6.68%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-24 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.19%EV -13.68%E -9.00%K -26.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.51%EV -20.99%E -5.38%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.30%EV -17.38%E -4.83%K -6.68%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-22 12:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%6.0%2026-07-26 03:50
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%7.4%2026-07-26 04:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.99%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%9.6%2026-07-26 04:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.99%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%9.6%2026-07-26 04:10