Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Go Ahead Eagles v Willem II

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 16:45 UTC

Score final : Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Willem II

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Go Ahead Eagles (Local)

Prévision 62.07%1.61cote équitable
EV -3.78%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -6.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.06%61.92%61.91%63.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.501.501.5569.93%66.66%66.67%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Willem II (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.11%6.21cote équitable
EV +0.706%
Avantage +0.113%
Kelly +0.134%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.92%16.28%16.11%19.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.735.756.2522.22%17.47%17.39%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.81%4.58cote équitable
EV +0.557%
Avantage +0.121%
Kelly +0.154%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.55%21.80%21.98%23.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.884.254.254.6125.77%23.55%23.53%21.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Go Ahead Eagles (Local) : 62.07% ; Willem II (Visiteur) : 16.11% ; Match nul : 21.81%. Pour Willem II (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.21. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.25, soit une espérance positive de +0.706%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.60%EV -7.51%E -5.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -9.48%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.88%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.45%EV +0.062%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.67%EV -7.73%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.65%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -0.100%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 16:35
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.83%EV -1.07%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.08%EV +0.557%E +0.121%K +0.154%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-08 16:39
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:48
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:29
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.59%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -9.48%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:39
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:39
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 16:29
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:24
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:24
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 14:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.55%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:30
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.14%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.28%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.46%EV -15.37%E -3.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 16:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:49
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.55%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:29
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -7.51%E -5.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:25
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.82%EV -11.23%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 16:38
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.30%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -12.99%E -2.41%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -13.84%E -3.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.41%EV -11.23%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -14.60%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.41%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -17.82%E -3.49%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.29%EV -9.37%E -6.42%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -27.49%E -6.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 14:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 64.04%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.99%0.1%2026-08-08 16:20
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-08-08 16:40