StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Go Ahead Eagles v Willem II

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-08 16:45 UTC

Endstand: Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Willem II

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

55 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Go Ahead Eagles (Heim)

Prognose 62.07%1.61faire Quote
EV -3.78%
Vorteil -2.44%
Kelly -6.88%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.06%61.92%61.91%63.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.431.501.501.5569.93%66.66%66.67%64.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Willem II (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.11%6.21faire Quote
EV +0.706%
Vorteil +0.113%
Kelly +0.134%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.92%16.28%16.11%19.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.505.735.756.2522.22%17.47%17.39%16.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.81%4.58faire Quote
EV +0.557%
Vorteil +0.121%
Kelly +0.154%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.61

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.55%21.80%21.98%23.46%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.884.254.254.6125.77%23.55%23.53%21.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Go Ahead Eagles (Heim): 62.07%; Willem II (Auswärts): 16.11%; Unentschieden: 21.81%. Für Willem II (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 6.21. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.25 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.706%.

Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.60%EV -7.51%E -5.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -9.48%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.88%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.45%EV +0.062%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.67%EV -7.73%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.65%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -0.100%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 16:35
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.83%EV -1.07%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.08%EV +0.557%E +0.121%K +0.154%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-08 16:39
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:48
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:29
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.59%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -9.48%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:39
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:39
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 16:29
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:24
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:24
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 14:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.55%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:30
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.14%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.28%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.46%EV -15.37%E -3.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 16:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:49
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.55%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:29
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -7.51%E -5.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:25
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.82%EV -11.23%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 16:38
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.30%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -12.99%E -2.41%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -13.84%E -3.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.41%EV -11.23%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -14.60%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.41%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -17.82%E -3.49%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.29%EV -9.37%E -6.42%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -27.49%E -6.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 14:14
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 64.04%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.99%0.1%2026-08-08 16:20
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-08-08 16:40