Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Go Ahead Eagles v Willem II

Inizio: 2026-08-08 16:45 UTC

Finale: Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Willem II

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

55 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Go Ahead Eagles (Casa)

Previsione 62.07%1.61quota equa
EV -3.78%
Vantaggio -2.44%
Kelly -6.88%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.06%61.92%61.91%63.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.501.501.5569.93%66.66%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Willem II (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.11%6.21quota equa
EV +0.706%
Vantaggio +0.113%
Kelly +0.134%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.92%16.28%16.11%19.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.735.756.2522.22%17.47%17.39%16.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.81%4.58quota equa
EV +0.557%
Vantaggio +0.121%
Kelly +0.154%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.55%21.80%21.98%23.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.884.254.254.6125.77%23.55%23.53%21.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Go Ahead Eagles (Casa): 62.07%; Willem II (Trasferta): 16.11%; Pareggio: 21.81%. Per Willem II (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.21. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 6.25, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.706%.

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.80%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.57%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-08 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.60%EV -7.51%E -5.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +0.706%E +0.113%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -9.48%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.88%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.45%EV +0.062%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.67%EV -7.73%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.65%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.09%EV -0.100%E -0.016%K -0.019%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 16:35
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%EV -4.41%E -2.86%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.83%EV -1.07%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 21.08%EV +0.557%E +0.121%K +0.154%G +0.001%2.9%2026-08-08 16:39
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:48
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:29
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.59%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -9.48%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:39
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:40
BetAnything🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.91%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:39
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 16:39
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -3.32%E -0.554%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 16:29
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 14:05
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.61%EV -3.78%E -2.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -4.93%E -0.836%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:24
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:24
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.05%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV -6.54%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 14:25
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +0.339%E +0.074%K +0.094%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -5.55%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 16:30
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:25
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.35%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.39%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.14%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.87%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.28%EV -6.27%E -4.15%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -9.77%E -1.74%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.46%EV -15.37%E -3.96%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 16:18
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -5.65%E -3.72%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -1.84%E -0.409%K -0.526%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 15:49
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -5.55%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 16:29
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -7.30%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 16:29
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -7.51%E -5.04%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 16:25
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:00
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.89%E -4.59%K -13.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 16:00
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -10.57%E -2.58%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -8.75%E -5.95%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 16:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 16:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.82%EV -11.23%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.07%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 16:38
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.30%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -12.99%E -2.41%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -13.84%E -3.50%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.41%EV -11.23%E -7.86%K -26.13%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.84%EV -14.60%E -2.75%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.75%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -10.61%E -7.37%K -24.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.41%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -14.93%E -3.83%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.48%EV -8.13%E -5.49%K -16.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -17.82%E -3.49%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -4.02%E -0.914%K -1.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.29%EV -9.37%E -6.42%K -20.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.90%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -6.20%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-08 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -5.03%E -3.29%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -27.49%E -6.11%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -12.75%E -3.19%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 14:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 64.04%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.98%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.99%0.1%2026-08-08 16:20
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-08-08 16:40
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-08-08 16:40