StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fortuna Sittard v Ajax

Matchstart: 2026-09-12 18:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Fortuna Sittard (Hemma)

Prognos 14.33%6.98rättvist odds
EV +7.44%
Fördel +0.992%
Kelly +1.14%
Tillväxt +0.085%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.69%14.23%14.50%15.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.706.556.507.5017.54%15.26%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Ajax (Borta)

Prognos 67.57%1.48rättvist odds
EV -3.37%
Fördel -2.36%
Kelly -7.84%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.08%67.57%67.41%70.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.321.381.381.4375.76%72.64%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 18.10%5.52rättvist odds
EV +1.37%
Fördel +0.245%
Kelly +0.298%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.19%18.20%18.09%20.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.075.005.6021.74%19.72%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Fortuna Sittard (Hemma): 14.33%; Ajax (Borta): 67.57%; Oavgjort: 18.10%. För Fortuna Sittard (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.98. 16 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +7.44%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.44%E +0.992%K +1.14%G +0.085%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -0.439%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:36
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.44%E +0.992%K +1.14%G +0.085%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -0.439%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:34
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +4.57%E +0.626%K +0.726%G +0.033%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:00
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +4.57%E +0.626%K +0.726%G +0.033%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:50
BetUS🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:51
BetAnything🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:50
Pinnacle🎯7.06I 14.16%NM 13.64%EV +1.14%E +0.161%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.32%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.04%EV -3.34%E -0.625%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.22%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.94%EV -2.25%E -0.417%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.14%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -4.06%E -0.766%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.14%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -4.06%E -0.766%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 17:50
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.07%E -4.37%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:30
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 16:25
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 17:41
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -10.80%E -8.18%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -7.68%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:55
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.23%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:55
Bovada🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.31%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.11%EV -6.77%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:55
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -16.73%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -4.02%E -0.600%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:21
1xBet🎯6.62I 15.11%NM 14.54%EV -5.17%E -0.781%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.27%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV +1.37%E +0.245%K +0.298%G +0.004%3.9%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 17:05
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 17:10
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.94%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -11.30%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:45
Coolbet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.77%EV -7.60%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.09%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -8.32%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 17:11
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.46%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.46%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 17:50
BetRivers🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.63%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.63%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 17:05
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -16.73%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV -12.62%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.42%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -12.62%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.55%EV -10.80%E -8.18%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:41
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:55
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -11.30%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:55
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:55
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:54
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-12 15:36
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.03%EV -10.40%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:30
NetBet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -15.48%E -2.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.22%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -16.91%E -2.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.68%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.85%EV -18.35%E -3.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.43%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -7.68%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 17:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Matchbook◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Smarkets◎7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-09-12 17:55
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.61%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65%1.9%2026-09-12 17:50