Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Fortuna Sittard v Ajax

Начало: 2026-09-12 18:00 UTC

Итог: Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Fortuna Sittard (Хозяева)

Прогноз 14.33%6.98справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.44%
Преимущество +0.992%
Kelly +1.14%
Рост +0.085%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.69%14.23%14.50%15.85%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.706.556.507.5017.54%15.26%15.38%13.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ajax (Гости)

Прогноз 67.57%1.48справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.37%
Преимущество -2.36%
Kelly -7.84%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.43

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
66.08%67.57%67.41%70.00%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.381.381.4375.76%72.64%72.46%69.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 18.10%5.52справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.37%
Преимущество +0.245%
Kelly +0.298%
Рост +0.004%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.19%18.20%18.09%20.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.605.075.005.6021.74%19.72%20.00%17.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Fortuna Sittard (Хозяева): 14.33%; Ajax (Гости): 67.57%; Ничья: 18.10%. Для исхода «Fortuna Sittard (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.98. 16 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +7.44%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.44%E +0.992%K +1.14%G +0.085%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -0.439%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:36
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.44%E +0.992%K +1.14%G +0.085%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -0.439%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:34
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +4.57%E +0.626%K +0.726%G +0.033%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:00
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +4.57%E +0.626%K +0.726%G +0.033%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:50
BetUS🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:51
BetAnything🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:50
Pinnacle🎯7.06I 14.16%NM 13.64%EV +1.14%E +0.161%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.32%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.04%EV -3.34%E -0.625%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.22%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.94%EV -2.25%E -0.417%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.14%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -4.06%E -0.766%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.14%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -4.06%E -0.766%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 17:50
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.07%E -4.37%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:30
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 16:25
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 17:41
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -10.80%E -8.18%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -7.68%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:55
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.23%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:55
Bovada🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.31%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.11%EV -6.77%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:55
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -16.73%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -4.02%E -0.600%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:21
1xBet🎯6.62I 15.11%NM 14.54%EV -5.17%E -0.781%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.27%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV +1.37%E +0.245%K +0.298%G +0.004%3.9%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 17:05
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 17:10
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.94%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -11.30%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:45
Coolbet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.77%EV -7.60%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.09%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -8.32%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 17:11
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.46%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.46%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 17:50
BetRivers🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.63%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.63%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 17:05
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -16.73%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV -12.62%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.42%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -12.62%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.55%EV -10.80%E -8.18%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:41
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:55
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -11.30%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:55
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:55
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:54
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-12 15:36
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.03%EV -10.40%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:30
NetBet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -15.48%E -2.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.22%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -16.91%E -2.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.68%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.85%EV -18.35%E -3.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.43%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -7.68%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 17:05
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Matchbook◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Smarkets◎7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-09-12 17:55
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.61%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65%1.9%2026-09-12 17:50