Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Fortuna Sittard (Local): 14.33%; Ajax (Visitante): 67.57%; Empate: 18.10%. Para Fortuna Sittard (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.98. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.44%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.44%E +0.992%K +1.14%G +0.085% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -0.439%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 17:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.44%E +0.992%K +1.14%G +0.085% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -0.439%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +4.57%E +0.626%K +0.726%G +0.033% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +4.57%E +0.626%K +0.726%G +0.033% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-12 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 16:51 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-12 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.06I 14.16%NM 13.64%EV +1.14%E +0.161%K +0.187%G +0.002% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.32%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.04%EV -3.34%E -0.625%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.22%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.94%EV -2.25%E -0.417%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.14%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -4.06%E -0.766%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.14%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -4.06%E -0.766%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.07%E -4.37%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 17:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -10.80%E -8.18%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -7.68%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.23%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.31%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-12 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.11%EV -6.77%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -16.73%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -4.02%E -0.600%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-12 17:21 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.54%EV -5.17%E -0.781%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.27%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV +1.37%E +0.245%K +0.298%G +0.004% | 3.9% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-07 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.94%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -11.30%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-12 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.77%EV -7.60%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.09%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -8.32%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-12 17:11 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.46%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.46%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.63%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.63%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -16.73%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV -12.62%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.42%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -12.62%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.55%EV -10.80%E -8.18%K -33.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-12 17:41 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -11.30%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-12 17:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-12 15:36 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.03%EV -10.40%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-12 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -15.48%E -2.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.22%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -16.91%E -2.92%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.68%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.85%EV -18.35%E -3.22%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.43%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -7.68%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 17:05 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 17:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04% | 0.8% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 1.3% | 2026-09-12 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.61% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65% | 1.9% | 2026-09-12 17:50 |