Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fortuna Sittard v Ajax

Inizio: 2026-09-12 18:00 UTC

Finale: Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Fortuna Sittard (Casa)

Previsione 14.33%6.98quota equa
EV +7.44%
Vantaggio +0.992%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescita +0.085%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.69%14.23%14.50%15.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.706.556.507.5017.54%15.26%15.38%13.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Ajax (Trasferta)

Previsione 67.57%1.48quota equa
EV -3.37%
Vantaggio -2.36%
Kelly -7.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.08%67.57%67.41%70.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.381.381.4375.76%72.64%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 18.10%5.52quota equa
EV +1.37%
Vantaggio +0.245%
Kelly +0.298%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.19%18.20%18.09%20.13%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.075.005.6021.74%19.72%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Fortuna Sittard (Casa): 14.33%; Ajax (Trasferta): 67.57%; Pareggio: 18.10%. Per Fortuna Sittard (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.98. 16 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.44%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bet Victor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.44%E +0.992%K +1.14%G +0.085%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -0.439%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:36
betano_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.44%E +0.992%K +1.14%G +0.085%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.00%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -0.439%E -0.080%K -0.098%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:34
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +4.57%E +0.626%K +0.726%G +0.033%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:00
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.93%EV +4.57%E +0.626%K +0.726%G +0.033%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.41%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-12 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:50
BetUS🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:51
BetAnything🎯7.15I 13.99%NM 13.29%EV +2.42%E +0.339%K +0.394%G +0.010%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.87%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.83%EV -3.52%E -0.660%K -0.812%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 16:50
Pinnacle🎯7.06I 14.16%NM 13.64%EV +1.14%E +0.161%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.32%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.04%EV -3.34%E -0.625%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-12 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.84%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.22%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.94%EV -2.25%E -0.417%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-12 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.14%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -4.06%E -0.766%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.14%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%EV -4.06%E -0.766%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 17:50
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -6.07%E -4.37%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 17:30
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 16:25
SportsBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 17:41
FanDuel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV +0.276%E +0.039%K +0.046%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -10.80%E -8.18%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -7.68%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-12 17:55
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.05%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.72%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.23%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-12 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-12 17:55
Bovada🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.86%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.31%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.11%EV -6.77%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 17:55
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -3.31%E -0.490%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -16.73%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-12 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -4.02%E -0.600%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 17:21
1xBet🎯6.62I 15.11%NM 14.54%EV -5.17%E -0.781%K -0.920%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.27%EV -4.72%E -3.35%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV +1.37%E +0.245%K +0.298%G +0.004%3.9%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 17:05
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 17:10
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.94%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.85%EV -11.30%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -6.89%E -1.06%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 17:45
Coolbet🎯6.45I 15.50%NM 14.77%EV -7.60%E -1.18%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.09%EV -4.05%E -2.85%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.70%EV -8.32%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-12 17:11
BetMGM🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -3.37%E -2.36%K -7.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -4.96%E -0.946%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.46%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.46%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 17:50
BetRivers🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.63%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.63%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 17:05
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -10.47%E -1.67%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -16.73%E -3.64%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-12 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV -12.62%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.42%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-12 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.62%EV -12.62%E -2.07%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.55%EV -10.80%E -8.18%K -33.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-12 17:41
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.40%E -3.86%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 17:55
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.15%EV -6.75%E -4.89%K -17.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -11.30%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:55
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:55
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.49%E -1.90%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 17:54
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -14.02%E -2.95%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-12 15:36
Betclic (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.87%EV -14.05%E -2.34%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.10%EV -10.13%E -7.62%K -30.69%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.03%EV -10.40%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 17:30
NetBet (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 15.15%EV -15.48%E -2.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.22%EV -8.78%E -6.50%K -25.08%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -13.11%E -2.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -16.91%E -2.92%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.68%EV -7.43%E -5.42%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -5.87%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.85%EV -18.35%E -3.22%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.43%EV -8.10%E -5.96%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -7.68%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-12 17:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Matchbook◎7.60I 13.16%NM 13.06%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-12 17:50
Smarkets◎7.60I 13.16%NM 12.99%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-09-12 17:55
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.61%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65%1.9%2026-09-12 17:50