The School of OddsToluca v Pumas
Head to Head
Toluca (Local)
Prediction 54.19%1.85fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.02%54.08%54.18%55.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.601.701.701.7863%59%59%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Pumas (Visit)
Prediction 21.65%4.62fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -0.827%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.88%21.69%21.71%23.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.754.174.184.4527%24%24%22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Draw
Prediction 24.16%4.14fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -0.836%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.27%24.23%24.11%25.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.754.0029%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -3.54%E -1.99%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -9.09%E -2.16%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 20:14 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -4.08%E -2.31%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -6.93%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 21:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -6.25%E -3.61%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -8.01%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 20:14 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.68%E -0.827%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-13 01:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.79%E -3.95%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -3.68%E -0.827%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -10.59%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-13 01:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.51%EV -7.33%E -4.29%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.28%EV -5.19%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.97%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 21:49 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.43%E -4.41%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 20:14 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.43%E -4.41%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 20:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.43%E -4.41%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 20:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -7.87%E -4.63%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -15.43%E -4.41%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.93%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -3.35%E -0.836%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-12 20:13 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.85%EV -8.42%E -4.98%K -12.20%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -4.76%E -1.08%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -6.97%E -1.81%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 21:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.42%E -3.35%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-12 20:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -9.50%E -5.69%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -18.83%E -5.02%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -15.43%E -4.41%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-12 20:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.59%EV -10.58%E -6.41%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.70%EV -10.17%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -8.18%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-12 20:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.83%EV -13.29%E -8.31%K -22.16%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.14%EV -10.17%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -11.80%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-12 20:12 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94% | 12.9% | 2026-07-13 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-07-12 20:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-07-12 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-07-12 20:44 |