La escuela de los momiosToluca v Pumas
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Toluca (Local)
Predicción 60.08%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.68%
Ventaja -1.65%
Kelly -4.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.09%60.00%60.10%61.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.541.551.6268.97%64.89%64.52%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Pumas (Visitante)
Predicción 17.76%5.63momio equitativo
EV +2.14%
Ventaja +0.373%
Kelly +0.451%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.79%17.79%17.74%18.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.145.105.7520.83%19.47%19.61%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.16%4.51momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.312%
Kelly -0.403%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.64%22.21%22.15%23.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.144.204.4526.32%24.14%23.81%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.51%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.14%E +0.373%K +0.451%G +0.010% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV -1.39%E -0.312%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.51%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.14%E +0.373%K +0.451%G +0.010% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV -1.39%E -0.312%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 01:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.31%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.18%EV -0.877%E -0.157%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%EV -5.60%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 02:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.71%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.04%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.26%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.63%EV -2.83%E -0.518%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.11%EV -3.38%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 02:51 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -4.07%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.87%EV -2.68%E -1.65%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.10%EV -6.38%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.04%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:24 |
| betano_uk | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 02:59 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.93%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.66%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.08%EV -10.29%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -9.28%E -6.15%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-22 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -12.07%E -2.44%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.04%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -12.07%E -2.44%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.04%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -12.96%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 02:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.97%EV -11.69%E -7.95%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -12.96%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-22 02:30 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.58%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-22 01:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -12.89%E -8.89%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -13.58%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 1.4% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |