La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Toluca v Pumas
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Toluca (Casa)
Previsione 60.08%1.66quota equa
EV -2.68%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -4.32%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.09%60.00%60.10%61.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.541.551.6268.97%64.89%64.52%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pumas (Trasferta)
Previsione 17.76%5.63quota equa
EV +2.14%
Vantaggio +0.373%
Kelly +0.451%
Crescita +0.010%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.79%17.79%17.74%18.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.145.105.7520.83%19.47%19.61%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 22.16%4.51quota equa
EV -1.39%
Vantaggio -0.312%
Kelly -0.403%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.64%22.21%22.15%23.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.144.204.4526.32%24.14%23.81%22.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.51%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.14%E +0.373%K +0.451%G +0.010% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV -1.39%E -0.312%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.51%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.14%E +0.373%K +0.451%G +0.010% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV -1.39%E -0.312%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 01:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.31%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.18%EV -0.877%E -0.157%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%EV -5.60%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 02:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.71%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.04%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.26%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.63%EV -2.83%E -0.518%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.11%EV -3.38%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 02:51 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -4.07%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.87%EV -2.68%E -1.65%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.10%EV -6.38%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.04%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:24 |
| betano_uk | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 02:59 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.93%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.66%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.08%EV -10.29%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -9.28%E -6.15%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-22 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -12.07%E -2.44%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.04%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -12.07%E -2.44%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.04%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -12.96%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 02:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.97%EV -11.69%E -7.95%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -12.96%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-22 02:30 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.58%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-22 01:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -12.89%E -8.89%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -13.58%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 1.4% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |