L’École des cotesToluca v Pumas
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Toluca (Local)
Prévision 60.08%1.66cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -4.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.09%60.00%60.10%61.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.541.551.6268.97%64.89%64.52%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Pumas (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.76%5.63cote équitable
EV +2.14%
Avantage +0.373%
Kelly +0.451%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 5.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.79%17.79%17.74%18.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.145.105.7520.83%19.47%19.61%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.16%4.51cote équitable
EV -1.39%
Avantage -0.312%
Kelly -0.403%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.64%22.21%22.15%23.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.144.204.4526.32%24.14%23.81%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.51%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.14%E +0.373%K +0.451%G +0.010% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV -1.39%E -0.312%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.51%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.14%E +0.373%K +0.451%G +0.010% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV -1.39%E -0.312%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 01:05 |
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.31%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.18%EV -0.877%E -0.157%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%EV -5.60%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 02:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.71%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.04%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.26%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.63%EV -2.83%E -0.518%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.11%EV -3.38%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 02:51 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -4.07%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.87%EV -2.68%E -1.65%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.10%EV -6.38%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.04%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:24 |
| betano_uk | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 02:59 |
| Casumo | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| betPARX | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.93%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.66%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.08%EV -10.29%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -9.28%E -6.15%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-22 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -12.07%E -2.44%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.04%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -12.07%E -2.44%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.04%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -12.96%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 02:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.97%EV -11.69%E -7.95%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -12.96%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-22 02:30 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.58%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-22 01:01 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -12.89%E -8.89%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -13.58%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 1.4% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 02:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |