Язык:Русский
Toluca v Pumas
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Toluca (Хозяева)
Прогноз 60.08%1.66справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.68%
Преимущество -1.65%
Kelly -4.32%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.62
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.09%60.00%60.10%61.51%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.451.541.551.6268.97%64.89%64.52%61.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Pumas (Гости)
Прогноз 17.76%5.63справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.14%
Преимущество +0.373%
Kelly +0.451%
Рост +0.010%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.75
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.79%17.79%17.74%18.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.145.105.7520.83%19.47%19.61%17.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 22.16%4.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.39%
Преимущество -0.312%
Kelly -0.403%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.64%22.21%22.15%23.39%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.144.204.4526.32%24.14%23.81%22.47%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Toluca (Хозяева): 60.08%; Pumas (Гости): 17.76%; Ничья: 22.16%. Для исхода «Pumas (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.63. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.75, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.14%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.51%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.14%E +0.373%K +0.451%G +0.010% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV -1.39%E -0.312%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.51%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +2.14%E +0.373%K +0.451%G +0.010% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.70%EV -1.39%E -0.312%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-22 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.31%EV -4.48%E -2.82%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.18%EV -0.877%E -0.157%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.51%EV -5.60%E -1.31%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-22 02:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -6.28%E -4.03%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.71%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.04%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.75%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -2.30%E -0.418%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.26%EV -3.88%E -2.42%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.63%EV -2.83%E -0.518%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.11%EV -3.38%E -0.776%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-22 02:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.69%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.20%EV -4.07%E -0.755%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -5.85%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.87%EV -2.68%E -1.65%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 18.10%EV -6.38%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.04%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.24%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -3.60%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 02:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-22 01:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.76%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.74%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-22 02:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.88%E -4.44%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -5.82%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -7.63%E -1.47%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.93%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.10%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.66%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.08%EV -10.29%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 01:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.68%E -3.62%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.48%E -4.86%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -8.68%E -5.71%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.19%EV -9.28%E -6.15%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.93%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-22 02:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-22 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -9.14%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 01:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.18%E -2.24%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -12.07%E -2.44%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.04%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -5.08%E -3.21%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.78%EV -12.07%E -2.44%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -8.04%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.48%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.21%EV -12.96%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-22 02:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.97%EV -11.69%E -7.95%K -24.87%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.99%EV -12.96%E -2.64%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-21 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -11.36%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-22 02:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.08%E -5.28%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -15.79%E -4.16%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-22 00:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.92%EV -9.89%E -6.59%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%EV -13.58%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-22 01:01 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.74%EV -12.89%E -8.89%K -28.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.05%EV -14.73%E -3.07%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -13.58%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-07-22 02:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 1.4% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.61% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57% | 2.1% | 2026-07-22 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.07% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11% | 2.8% | 2026-07-22 03:00 |