Language:English
Tijuana v León
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tijuana (Local)
Prediction 48.93%2.04fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.576%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.85%48.80%49.02%50.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.881.872.0256.82%53.24%53.48%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
León (Visit)
Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV +3.62%
Edge +0.867%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 4.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%24.97%24.80%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.713.704.1830.30%26.95%27.03%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.28%3.80fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.526%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.20%26.23%26.18%27.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.543.553.7530.77%28.27%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tijuana (Local): 48.93%; León (Visit): 24.79%; Draw: 26.28%. For León (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.39%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.92%EV +3.62%E +0.867%K +1.14%G +0.041% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.69%EV -9.07%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +1.64%E +0.400%K +0.529%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.89%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.41%EV +0.400%E +0.099%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 02:44 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.27%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.26%EV -1.83%E -0.462%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.77%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.63%EV -2.82%E -0.720%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| betano_uk | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 02:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -3.98%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -3.98%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 02:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 02:53 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.02%EV -8.99%E -4.83%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.57%E -2.88%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 02:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 02:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.76%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 02:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 02:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.06%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 02:30 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.06%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 02:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 02:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -10.95%E -6.02%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -10.95%E -6.02%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 02:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 02:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.02%EV -13.89%E -7.89%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 02:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.35%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-25 02:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -1.16%E -0.576%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -18.19%E -5.51%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |