مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tijuana v León

البداية: 2026-07-25 03:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Tijuana 1–0 León

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tijuana (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.93%2.04السعر العادل
EV -1.16%
الأفضلية -0.576%
Kelly -1.14%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.85%48.80%49.02%50.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.761.881.872.0256.82%53.24%53.48%49.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

León (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.79%4.03السعر العادل
EV +3.62%
الأفضلية +0.867%
Kelly +1.14%
النمو +0.041%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.74%24.97%24.80%28.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.713.704.1830.30%26.95%27.03%23.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.28%3.80السعر العادل
EV -1.45%
الأفضلية -0.385%
Kelly -0.526%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.20%26.23%26.18%27.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.543.553.7530.77%28.27%28.17%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.39%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.92%EV +3.62%E +0.867%K +1.14%G +0.041%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.69%EV -9.07%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 02:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +1.64%E +0.400%K +0.529%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 02:55
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.89%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.41%EV +0.400%E +0.099%K +0.131%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 02:44
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 49.27%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.26%EV -1.83%E -0.462%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 02:55
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.77%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.63%EV -2.82%E -0.720%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 02:25
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 02:25
betano_uk1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 02:54
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -3.98%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 02:45
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -3.98%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 02:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:15
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:55
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 02:53
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 02:35
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.02%EV -8.99%E -4.83%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 02:45
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:45
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:50
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:45
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.57%E -2.88%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 02:30
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 02:50
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 02:45
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.76%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:14
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 02:15
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.06%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 02:30
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.06%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 02:30
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:25
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 02:15
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -10.95%E -6.02%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -10.95%E -6.02%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 02:45
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 02:40
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 02:45
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 02:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 02:24
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 02:35
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.02%EV -13.89%E -7.89%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 02:45
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 02:25
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 02:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 02:45
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 02:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 02:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 02:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 02:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 02:55
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.35%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 02:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 02:25
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 02:20
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -1.16%E -0.576%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -18.19%E -5.51%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 02:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-07-25 02:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-07-25 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-07-25 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-07-25 02:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%1.0%2026-07-25 02:35
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-07-25 02:55