L’École des cotesTijuana v León
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Tijuana (Local)
Prévision 48.93%2.04cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.576%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.85%48.80%49.02%50.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.761.881.872.0256.82%53.24%53.48%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
León (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.79%4.03cote équitable
EV +3.62%
Avantage +0.867%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.041%
avec la cote maximale 4.18
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.74%24.97%24.80%28.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.713.704.1830.30%26.95%27.03%23.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 26.28%3.80cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.385%
Kelly -0.526%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.20%26.23%26.18%27.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.543.553.7530.77%28.27%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.39%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.92%EV +3.62%E +0.867%K +1.14%G +0.041% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.69%EV -9.07%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +1.64%E +0.400%K +0.529%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.89%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.41%EV +0.400%E +0.099%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 02:44 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.27%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.26%EV -1.83%E -0.462%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.77%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.63%EV -2.82%E -0.720%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| betano_uk | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 02:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -3.98%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -3.98%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 02:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 02:53 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.02%EV -8.99%E -4.83%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.57%E -2.88%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 02:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 02:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.76%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 02:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 02:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.06%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 02:30 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.06%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 02:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 02:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -10.95%E -6.02%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -10.95%E -6.02%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 02:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 02:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.02%EV -13.89%E -7.89%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 02:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.35%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-25 02:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -1.16%E -0.576%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -18.19%E -5.51%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |