La escuela de los momiosTijuana v León
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tijuana (Local)
Predicción 48.93%2.04momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.576%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.85%48.80%49.02%50.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.881.872.0256.82%53.24%53.48%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
León (Visitante)
Predicción 24.79%4.03momio equitativo
EV +3.62%
Ventaja +0.867%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.041%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.74%24.97%24.80%28.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.713.704.1830.30%26.95%27.03%23.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.28%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -0.526%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.20%26.23%26.18%27.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.543.553.7530.77%28.27%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.39%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.92%EV +3.62%E +0.867%K +1.14%G +0.041% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.69%EV -9.07%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +1.64%E +0.400%K +0.529%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.89%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.41%EV +0.400%E +0.099%K +0.131%G +0.001% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 02:44 |
| GTbets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.27%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.26%EV -1.83%E -0.462%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.77%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.63%EV -2.82%E -0.720%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| betano_uk | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 02:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -3.98%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -3.98%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 02:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 02:53 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Unibet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.02%EV -8.99%E -4.83%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Casumo | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| betPARX | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 02:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.57%E -2.88%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 02:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 02:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.76%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-25 02:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-25 02:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.06%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 02:30 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.06%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 02:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 02:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -10.95%E -6.02%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -10.95%E -6.02%K -13.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 02:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Fliff | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-25 02:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.02%EV -13.89%E -7.89%K -18.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 02:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-25 02:45 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.35%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-25 02:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-25 02:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -1.16%E -0.576%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -18.19%E -5.51%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-21 02:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41% | 0.9% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.53% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-25 02:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60% | 1.5% | 2026-07-25 02:55 |