A Escola das Odds

Tijuana v León

Início: 2026-07-25 03:00 UTC

Final: Tijuana 1–0 León

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tijuana (Local)

Previsão 48.93%2.04odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.576%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.85%48.80%49.02%50.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.761.881.872.0256.82%53.24%53.48%49.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

León (Visitante)

Previsão 24.79%4.03odd justa
EV +3.62%
Vantagem +0.867%
Kelly +1.14%
Crescimento +0.041%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.74%24.97%24.80%28.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.713.704.1830.30%26.95%27.03%23.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.28%3.80odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -0.385%
Kelly -0.526%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.20%26.23%26.18%27.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.543.553.7530.77%28.27%28.17%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.39%EV -5.08%E -2.62%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.92%EV +3.62%E +0.867%K +1.14%G +0.041%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.69%EV -9.07%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 02:55
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV +1.64%E +0.400%K +0.529%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 02:55
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.89%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.41%EV +0.400%E +0.099%K +0.131%G +0.001%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 02:44
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 49.27%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.26%EV -1.83%E -0.462%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.47%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 02:55
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.77%EV -3.12%E -1.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.63%EV -2.82%E -0.720%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.60%EV -4.60%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 02:45
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 02:25
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 49.50%EV -4.59%E -2.35%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.75%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 02:25
betano_uk1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.32%E -0.851%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 02:54
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -3.98%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 02:45
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%EV -7.53%E -3.98%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -4.56%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.45%E -0.385%K -0.526%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 02:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:15
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:55
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 02:53
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 02:35
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.02%EV -8.99%E -4.83%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.49%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 02:45
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:45
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:50
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:45
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.16%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.80%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 02:50
Unibet (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.57%E -2.88%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 02:30
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 02:50
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.04%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 02:45
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -2.76%E -0.746%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 02:14
SportsBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 02:15
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.06%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 02:30
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.06%E -3.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 02:30
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -4.07%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-25 02:25
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 02:15
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -10.95%E -6.02%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 02:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -10.95%E -6.02%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.28%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 02:45
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.73%EV -8.01%E -4.26%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 02:40
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -9.52%E -2.61%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 02:45
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.51%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 02:25
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 02:24
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.67%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.59%EV -11.96%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-25 02:35
PMU (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.02%EV -13.89%E -7.89%K -18.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -10.76%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.52%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 02:45
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.30%EV -7.04%E -3.70%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.99%E -3.38%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 02:25
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 02:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -8.50%E -4.55%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 02:45
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -10.46%E -5.72%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 02:25
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 02:55
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 02:55
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 02:55
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-25 02:55
NetBet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.35%EV -11.93%E -6.63%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 02:55
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -6.55%E -3.43%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-25 02:25
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -9.48%E -5.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-25 02:20
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -1.16%E -0.576%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -18.19%E -5.51%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 02:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-07-25 02:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-07-25 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-07-25 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-07-25 02:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.53%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.75%1.0%2026-07-25 02:35
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-07-25 02:55