Language:English
Tijuana v Cruz Azul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tijuana (Local)
Prediction 33.42%2.99fair odd
EV -0.082%
Edge -0.028%
Kelly -0.041%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.14%33.33%33.42%34.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.772.752.9938.17%36.13%36.36%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cruz Azul (Visit)
Prediction 38.46%2.60fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.82%38.52%38.48%40.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.362.392.5446.73%42.32%41.84%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -0.867%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.37%28.15%28.10%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.303.4533.33%30.59%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tijuana (Local): 33.42%; Cruz Azul (Visit): 38.46%; Draw: 28.12%. For Tijuana (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.992. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.990, with an expected value of -0.082%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.14%EV -0.082%E -0.028%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 02:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.99%E -0.867%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.99%E -0.867%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -2.30%E -0.906%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -3.83%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-17 02:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 02:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 02:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 02:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 02:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.55%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.96%EV -6.10%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -9.46%E -2.94%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 02:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 02:47 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 02:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 02:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-17 02:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 02:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.34%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.88%EV -14.22%E -6.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 02:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.33%EV -10.44%E -3.90%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.50%EV -10.76%E -4.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.86%E -3.43%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.63%EV -12.69%E -5.59%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.50%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 39.94%EV -17.69%E -8.26%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |