Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tijuana v Cruz Azul

Início: 2026-08-17 03:00 UTC

Final: Tijuana 2–1 Cruz Azul

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tijuana (Local)

Previsão 33.42%2.99odd justa
EV -0.082%
Vantagem -0.028%
Kelly -0.041%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.99

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.14%33.33%33.42%34.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.772.752.9938.17%36.13%36.36%33.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cruz Azul (Visitante)

Previsão 38.46%2.60odd justa
EV -2.30%
Vantagem -0.906%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.54

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.82%38.52%38.48%40.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.142.362.392.5446.73%42.32%41.84%39.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.12%3.56odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -0.867%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.37%28.15%28.10%29.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.273.303.4533.33%30.59%30.30%28.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tijuana (Local): 33.42%; Cruz Azul (Visitante): 38.46%; Empate: 28.12%. Para Tijuana (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.992. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.990, com valor esperado de -0.082%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.14%EV -0.082%E -0.028%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 02:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.99%E -0.867%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 02:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.99%E -0.867%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 02:45
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -2.30%E -0.906%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -3.83%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-17 02:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 02:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 02:29
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 02:44
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 02:54
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 02:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 02:19
Coolbet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.55%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 02:49
GTbets🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 02:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.96%EV -6.10%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -9.46%E -2.94%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 02:54
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 02:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 02:47
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 02:49
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:30
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 02:55
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 02:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 02:44
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 02:29
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 02:34
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 02:49
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 02:34
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 02:45
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 02:33
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 02:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 02:49
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.34%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.88%EV -14.22%E -6.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-17 02:29
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 02:34
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 02:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-17 02:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-17 02:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-17 02:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.33%EV -10.44%E -3.90%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.50%EV -10.76%E -4.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.86%E -3.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 02:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.63%EV -12.69%E -5.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-17 02:45
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-17 02:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.50%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 39.94%EV -17.69%E -8.26%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-17 02:29
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 02:49
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 02:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 02:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 02:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-08-17 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-08-17 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-08-17 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-08-17 02:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-08-17 02:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-08-17 02:45