Idioma:Español
Tijuana v Cruz Azul
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tijuana (Local)
Predicción 33.42%2.99momio equitativo
EV -0.082%
Ventaja -0.028%
Kelly -0.041%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.14%33.33%33.42%34.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.622.772.752.9938.17%36.13%36.36%33.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cruz Azul (Visitante)
Predicción 38.46%2.60momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -0.906%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.82%38.52%38.48%40.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.142.362.392.5446.73%42.32%41.84%39.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.12%3.56momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -0.867%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.37%28.15%28.10%29.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.303.4533.33%30.59%30.30%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tijuana (Local): 33.42%; Cruz Azul (Visitante): 38.46%; Empate: 28.12%. Para Tijuana (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.992. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.990, con un valor esperado de -0.082%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.14%EV -0.082%E -0.028%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 02:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.99%E -0.867%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.99%E -0.867%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -2.30%E -0.906%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -3.83%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-17 02:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 02:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 02:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 02:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 02:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.55%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.96%EV -6.10%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -9.46%E -2.94%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 02:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 02:47 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 02:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 02:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-17 02:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 02:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.34%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.88%EV -14.22%E -6.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 02:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.33%EV -10.44%E -3.90%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.50%EV -10.76%E -4.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.86%E -3.43%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.63%EV -12.69%E -5.59%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.50%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 39.94%EV -17.69%E -8.26%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |