Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tijuana v Cruz Azul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-17 03:00 UTC

Score final : Tijuana 2–1 Cruz Azul

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tijuana (Local)

Prévision 33.42%2.99cote équitable
EV -0.082%
Avantage -0.028%
Kelly -0.041%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.14%33.33%33.42%34.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.772.752.9938.17%36.13%36.36%33.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cruz Azul (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.46%2.60cote équitable
EV -2.30%
Avantage -0.906%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.82%38.52%38.48%40.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.142.362.392.5446.73%42.32%41.84%39.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.12%3.56cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.867%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.37%28.15%28.10%29.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.303.4533.33%30.59%30.30%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tijuana (Local) : 33.42% ; Cruz Azul (Visiteur) : 38.46% ; Match nul : 28.12%. Pour Tijuana (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.992. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.990, pour une espérance de -0.082% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.14%EV -0.082%E -0.028%K -0.041%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 02:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.99%E -0.867%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 02:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.99%E -0.867%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 02:45
Pinnacle🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -2.30%E -0.906%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -3.83%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-17 02:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 02:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-17 02:29
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 02:44
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 02:54
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 02:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 02:19
Coolbet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.55%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 02:49
GTbets🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 02:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 32.96%EV -6.10%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -9.46%E -2.94%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 02:54
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 02:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 02:47
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 02:49
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:29
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-17 02:30
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 02:55
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 02:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 02:44
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 02:29
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 02:34
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-17 02:49
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-17 02:34
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 02:45
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-17 02:33
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 02:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 02:49
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.34%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.88%EV -14.22%E -6.38%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-17 02:29
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-17 02:34
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-17 02:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-17 02:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-17 02:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-17 02:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 33.33%EV -10.44%E -3.90%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.50%EV -10.76%E -4.64%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.86%E -3.43%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 02:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.63%EV -12.69%E -5.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-17 02:45
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-17 02:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.50%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 39.94%EV -17.69%E -8.26%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-17 02:29
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 02:49
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 02:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 02:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-17 02:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-08-17 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-08-17 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-08-17 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-08-17 02:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-08-17 02:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-08-17 02:45