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Tijuana v Cruz Azul
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Tijuana (Хозяева)
Прогноз 33.42%2.99справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.082%
Преимущество -0.028%
Kelly -0.041%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.99
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.14%33.33%33.42%34.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.622.772.752.9938.17%36.13%36.36%33.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Cruz Azul (Гости)
Прогноз 38.46%2.60справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.30%
Преимущество -0.906%
Kelly -1.49%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.54
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.82%38.52%38.48%40.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.142.362.392.5446.73%42.32%41.84%39.37%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.12%3.56справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.99%
Преимущество -0.867%
Kelly -1.22%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.37%28.15%28.10%29.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.273.303.4533.33%30.59%30.30%28.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Tijuana (Хозяева): 33.42%; Cruz Azul (Гости): 38.46%; Ничья: 28.12%. Для исхода «Tijuana (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.992. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.990, математическое ожидание — -0.082%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.14%EV -0.082%E -0.028%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.75%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.12%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 02:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.99%E -0.867%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.66%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.01%EV -2.99%E -0.867%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.60%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -2.30%E -0.906%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -3.83%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-17 02:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09%EV -10.38%E -4.45%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 02:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.23%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 02:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 02:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 02:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.55%EV -5.10%E -1.79%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.42%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.14%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.96%EV -6.10%E -2.17%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -9.46%E -2.94%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 02:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 02:47 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -12.30%E -5.40%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-17 02:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 02:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 02:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-17 02:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-17 02:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.34%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.88%EV -14.22%E -6.38%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.76%E -2.35%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-17 02:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -11.53%E -5.01%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -15.38%E -6.99%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.33%EV -10.44%E -3.90%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.50%EV -10.76%E -4.64%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.86%E -3.43%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.63%EV -12.69%E -5.59%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.50%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 39.94%EV -17.69%E -8.26%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-17 02:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.64%E -5.21%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-17 02:49 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.60% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-08-17 02:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 02:45 |