Language:English
Tigres v Necaxa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tigres (Local)
Prediction 57.24%1.75fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.54%57.20%57.32%59.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.621.621.6964.94%61.83%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Necaxa (Visit)
Prediction 18.69%5.35fair odd
EV +8.43%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.148%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.53%18.67%18.69%20.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.874.905.8023.81%20.55%20.41%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.07%4.16fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.686%
Kelly -0.911%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.99%24.13%23.99%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.804.0428.57%26.38%26.32%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tigres (Local): 57.24%; Necaxa (Visit): 18.69%; Draw: 24.07%. For Necaxa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.35. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.98%E -3.00%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV +8.43%E +1.45%K +1.76%G +0.148% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.71%EV -10.23%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.64%EV +2.82%E +0.512%K +0.626%G +0.018% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.20%EV -4.98%E -3.00%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.62%EV +0.762%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.19%EV -9.27%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -8.99%E -5.65%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -0.920%E -0.174%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -1.86%E -0.353%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.747%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.747%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.28%E -7.28%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.45%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.648%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.89%EV -2.77%E -0.686%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.18%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.32%EV -3.72%E -0.723%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 00:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.80%EV -3.27%E -1.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.72%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -8.07%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -9.56%E -6.05%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -10.71%E -6.86%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 00:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.20%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.41%EV -11.28%E -7.28%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.88%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -17.75%E -4.03%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.54%EV -11.85%E -7.70%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37%EV -21.48%E -5.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -14.56%E -4.10%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.49% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |