StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tigres v Necaxa

Matchstart: 2026-09-06 01:03 UTC

Slutresultat: Tigres 1–1 Necaxa

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Tigres (Hemma)

Prognos 57.24%1.75rättvist odds
EV -3.27%
Fördel -1.93%
Kelly -4.73%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
55.54%57.20%57.32%59.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.541.621.621.6964.94%61.83%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Necaxa (Borta)

Prognos 18.69%5.35rättvist odds
EV +8.43%
Fördel +1.45%
Kelly +1.76%
Tillväxt +0.148%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.53%18.67%18.69%20.43%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.204.874.905.8023.81%20.55%20.41%17.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.07%4.16rättvist odds
EV -2.77%
Fördel -0.686%
Kelly -0.911%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.99%24.13%23.99%25.71%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.503.793.804.0428.57%26.38%26.32%24.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Tigres (Hemma): 57.24%; Necaxa (Borta): 18.69%; Oavgjort: 24.07%. För Necaxa (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.35. 3 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 5.80, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.43%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.98%E -3.00%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV +8.43%E +1.45%K +1.76%G +0.148%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.71%EV -10.23%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 00:59
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.64%EV +2.82%E +0.512%K +0.626%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 01:00
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.20%EV -4.98%E -3.00%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.62%EV +0.762%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.19%EV -9.27%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 00:59
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -8.99%E -5.65%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -0.920%E -0.174%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 00:44
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -1.86%E -0.353%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 00:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.747%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.747%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.28%E -7.28%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.45%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.648%K -0.804%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.89%EV -2.77%E -0.686%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 00:59
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.18%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.32%EV -3.72%E -0.723%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 00:54
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.80%EV -3.27%E -1.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 01:00
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 00:59
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 00:50
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 00:55
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.72%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 00:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -8.07%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 00:30
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 00:30
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -9.56%E -6.05%K -16.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 00:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -10.71%E -6.86%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 00:53
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 00:59
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 00:59
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.20%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 00:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.41%EV -11.28%E -7.28%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 01:00
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:45
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:40
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:40
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:39
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 00:59
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.88%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 00:39
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -17.75%E -4.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 00:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.54%EV -11.85%E -7.70%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37%EV -21.48%E -5.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -14.56%E -4.10%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-06 00:40
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-09-06 01:00
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-09-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.49%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%2.4%2026-09-06 01:00