Idioma:Español
Tigres v Necaxa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tigres (Local)
Predicción 57.24%1.75momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -4.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.54%57.20%57.32%59.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.621.621.6964.94%61.83%61.73%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Necaxa (Visitante)
Predicción 18.69%5.35momio equitativo
EV +8.43%
Ventaja +1.45%
Kelly +1.76%
Crecimiento +0.148%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.53%18.67%18.69%20.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.874.905.8023.81%20.55%20.41%17.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.07%4.16momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.686%
Kelly -0.911%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.99%24.13%23.99%25.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.793.804.0428.57%26.38%26.32%24.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tigres (Local): 57.24%; Necaxa (Visitante): 18.69%; Empate: 24.07%. Para Necaxa (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.35. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.43%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.98%E -3.00%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV +8.43%E +1.45%K +1.76%G +0.148% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.71%EV -10.23%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.64%EV +2.82%E +0.512%K +0.626%G +0.018% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.20%EV -4.98%E -3.00%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.62%EV +0.762%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.19%EV -9.27%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -8.99%E -5.65%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -0.920%E -0.174%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -1.86%E -0.353%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.747%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.747%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.28%E -7.28%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.45%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.648%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.89%EV -2.77%E -0.686%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.18%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.32%EV -3.72%E -0.723%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 00:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.80%EV -3.27%E -1.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.72%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -8.07%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -9.56%E -6.05%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -10.71%E -6.86%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 00:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.20%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.41%EV -11.28%E -7.28%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.88%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -17.75%E -4.03%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.54%EV -11.85%E -7.70%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37%EV -21.48%E -5.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -14.56%E -4.10%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.49% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |