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Tigres v Necaxa
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Tigres (Хозяева)
Прогноз 57.24%1.75справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.27%
Преимущество -1.93%
Kelly -4.73%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.69
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.54%57.20%57.32%59.33%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.541.621.621.6964.94%61.83%61.73%59.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Necaxa (Гости)
Прогноз 18.69%5.35справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.43%
Преимущество +1.45%
Kelly +1.76%
Рост +0.148%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.80
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.53%18.67%18.69%20.43%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.874.905.8023.81%20.55%20.41%17.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.07%4.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.77%
Преимущество -0.686%
Kelly -0.911%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.04
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.99%24.13%23.99%25.71%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.503.793.804.0428.57%26.38%26.32%24.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Tigres (Хозяева): 57.24%; Necaxa (Гости): 18.69%; Ничья: 24.07%. Для исхода «Necaxa (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.35. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.80, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +8.43%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.98%E -3.00%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV +8.43%E +1.45%K +1.76%G +0.148% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.71%EV -10.23%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.64%EV +2.82%E +0.512%K +0.626%G +0.018% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.20%EV -4.98%E -3.00%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.62%EV +0.762%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.19%EV -9.27%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -8.99%E -5.65%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -0.920%E -0.174%K -0.214%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 00:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -1.86%E -0.353%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.747%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.747%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.28%E -7.28%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.45%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.648%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.89%EV -2.77%E -0.686%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.18%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.32%EV -3.72%E -0.723%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 00:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.80%EV -3.27%E -1.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-06 00:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.72%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -8.07%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -9.56%E -6.05%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -10.71%E -6.86%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 00:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.20%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.41%EV -11.28%E -7.28%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 00:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 00:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.88%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 00:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -17.75%E -4.03%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.54%EV -11.85%E -7.70%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37%EV -21.48%E -5.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -14.56%E -4.10%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-06 00:40 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.49% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.55% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55% | 1.8% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |