默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tigres v Necaxa

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 01:03 UTC

最终结果: Tigres 1–1 Necaxa

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tigres (主队)

预测 57.24%1.75公平赔率
EV -3.27%
优势 -1.93%
Kelly -4.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布
55.54%57.20%57.32%59.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.541.621.621.6964.94%61.83%61.73%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Necaxa (客队)

预测 18.69%5.35公平赔率
EV +8.43%
优势 +1.45%
Kelly +1.76%
增长率 +0.148%

假设最高赔率为 5.80

博彩公司预测分布
16.53%18.67%18.69%20.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.874.905.8023.81%20.55%20.41%17.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.07%4.16公平赔率
EV -2.77%
优势 -0.686%
Kelly -0.911%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.04

博彩公司预测分布
22.99%24.13%23.99%25.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.793.804.0428.57%26.38%26.32%24.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Tigres (主队):57.24%;Necaxa (客队):18.69%;平局:24.07%。 对于“Necaxa (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.35。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.80,对应+8.43%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.98%E -3.00%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.53%EV +8.43%E +1.45%K +1.76%G +0.148%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.71%EV -10.23%E -2.74%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 00:59
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.10%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.64%EV +2.82%E +0.512%K +0.626%G +0.018%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-06 01:00
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.20%EV -4.98%E -3.00%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.62%EV +0.762%E +0.141%K +0.174%G +0.001%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.19%EV -9.27%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 00:59
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -8.99%E -5.65%K -15.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -0.920%E -0.174%K -0.214%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 00:44
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -1.86%E -0.353%K -0.437%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 00:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.747%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.57%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.96%EV -3.01%E -0.747%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 00:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.28%E -7.28%K -20.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -2.79%E -0.537%K -0.664%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:50
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.45%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.648%K -0.804%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.89%EV -2.77%E -0.686%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 00:59
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.18%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.32%EV -3.72%E -0.723%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 00:54
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.80%EV -3.27%E -1.93%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 00:30
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 01:00
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 01:00
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 00:59
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.73%E -0.933%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 01:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 00:50
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.61%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 00:55
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.72%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -12.16%E -3.33%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 00:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -8.55%E -2.25%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 00:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.53%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 00:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.84%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.25%EV -8.07%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 00:30
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -5.56%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 00:30
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -9.56%E -6.05%K -16.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.66%EV -8.40%E -1.71%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -6.14%E -1.57%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 00:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -10.71%E -6.86%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 00:53
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 00:59
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -10.27%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-06 00:59
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.60%EV -10.13%E -6.46%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.20%E -2.36%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.94%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 00:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.41%EV -11.28%E -7.28%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.60%EV -12.14%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.98%EV -15.77%E -4.50%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 01:00
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:45
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:40
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:40
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:40
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -6.13%E -3.74%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 00:39
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.01%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -13.36%E -3.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 00:59
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.11%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -15.88%E -3.53%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-06 00:39
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.85%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -17.75%E -4.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -9.75%E -2.60%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-06 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 00:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 00:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.68%E -4.29%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -10.95%E -2.96%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 00:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.54%EV -11.85%E -7.70%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.37%EV -21.48%E -5.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.09%EV -14.56%E -4.10%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-06 00:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-09-06 01:00
Matchbook◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.67%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-09-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.49%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.55%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.66%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-09-06 01:00
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%2.4%2026-09-06 01:00