语言:简体中文
Querétaro v Toluca
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Querétaro (主队)
预测 17.35%5.77公平赔率
EV +7.54%
优势 +1.22%
Kelly +1.45%
增长率 +0.109%
假设最高赔率为 6.20
博彩公司预测分布
15.32%17.27%17.33%19.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.415.506.2021.74%18.50%18.18%16.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
Toluca (客队)
预测 60.47%1.65公平赔率
EV -4.45%
优势 -2.82%
Kelly -7.68%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.58
博彩公司预测分布
58.95%60.50%60.60%62.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.26%66.67%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.18%4.51公平赔率
EV -1.73%
优势 -0.390%
Kelly -0.504%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.43
博彩公司预测分布
21.17%22.24%22.07%23.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.604.104.104.4327.78%24.37%24.39%22.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Querétaro (主队)：17.35%；Toluca (客队)：60.47%；平局：22.18%。 对于“Querétaro (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.77。 当时有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.20，对应+7.54%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.32%EV +7.54%E +1.22%K +1.45%G +0.109% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +2.34%E +0.396%K +0.477%G +0.011% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.06%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.59%EV -5.28%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.31%EV +1.99%E +0.338%K +0.408%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -8.69%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 22:47 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -2.87%E -0.512%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -12.32%E -8.49%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.59I 17.89%NM 16.88%EV -3.04%E -0.544%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -7.20%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.92%E -8.97%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -20.14%E -5.59%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.08%E -5.32%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -10.50%E -7.10%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.35%EV -12.82%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.90%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.08%EV -13.53%E -9.46%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -17.61%E -3.71%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.30%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.35%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -20.21%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.34% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |