L’École des cotesQuerétaro v Toluca
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Querétaro (Local)
Prévision 17.35%5.77cote équitable
EV +7.54%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.45%
Croissance +0.109%
avec la cote maximale 6.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.32%17.27%17.33%19.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.415.506.2021.74%18.50%18.18%16.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Toluca (Visiteur)
Prévision 60.47%1.65cote équitable
EV -4.45%
Avantage -2.82%
Kelly -7.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.95%60.50%60.60%62.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.26%66.67%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.18%4.51cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.390%
Kelly -0.504%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.43
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.17%22.24%22.07%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.104.104.4327.78%24.37%24.39%22.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.32%EV +7.54%E +1.22%K +1.45%G +0.109% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +2.34%E +0.396%K +0.477%G +0.011% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.06%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.59%EV -5.28%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.31%EV +1.99%E +0.338%K +0.408%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -8.69%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Casumo | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Unibet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| BetRivers | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 22:47 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -2.87%E -0.512%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -12.32%E -8.49%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| GTbets | 5.59I 17.89%NM 16.88%EV -3.04%E -0.544%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -7.20%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.92%E -8.97%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -20.14%E -5.59%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.08%E -5.32%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -10.50%E -7.10%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.35%EV -12.82%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.90%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.08%EV -13.53%E -9.46%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -17.61%E -3.71%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.30%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.35%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -20.21%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.34% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |