A Escola das Odds

Querétaro v Toluca

Início: 2026-04-04 23:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Querétaro (Local)

Previsão 17.35%5.77odd justa
EV +7.54%
Vantagem +1.22%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescimento +0.109%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.32%17.27%17.33%19.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.605.415.506.2021.74%18.50%18.18%16.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toluca (Visitante)

Previsão 60.47%1.65odd justa
EV -4.45%
Vantagem -2.82%
Kelly -7.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.95%60.50%60.60%62.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.26%66.67%63.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.18%4.51odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -0.390%
Kelly -0.504%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.17%22.24%22.07%23.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.604.104.104.4327.78%24.37%24.39%22.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet6.20I 16.13%NM 15.32%EV +7.54%E +1.22%K +1.45%G +0.109%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 22:58
Svenska Spel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:00
ATG (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 23:00
Pinnacle5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +2.34%E +0.396%K +0.477%G +0.011%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.06%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.59%EV -5.28%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 22:59
1xBet5.88I 17.01%NM 16.31%EV +1.99%E +0.338%K +0.408%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-04 22:59
LowVig.ag5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 22:59
BetOnline.ag5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 22:59
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -8.69%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:01
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Grosvenor5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:00
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 23:01
BetRivers5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 22:47
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 23:00
LiveScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 23:01
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -2.87%E -0.512%K -0.623%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -12.32%E -8.49%K -27.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 23:00
GTbets5.59I 17.89%NM 16.88%EV -3.04%E -0.544%K -0.662%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 23:00
DraftKings5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 23:01
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 23:00
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 22:59
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 22:59
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 23:00
PMU (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 23:00
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 23:00
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 23:01
Marathon Bet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -7.20%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 22:59
Unibet (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 23:00
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 23:00
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 23:00
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 22:59
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 22:59
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 23:00
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 22:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 23:00
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 23:00
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 22:59
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 22:59
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.92%E -8.97%K -29.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -20.14%E -5.59%K -7.75%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.08%E -5.32%K -15.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 23:00
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -10.50%E -7.10%K -21.88%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.35%EV -12.82%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 22:58
NetBet (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 17.90%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.08%EV -13.53%E -9.46%K -31.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-04 22:59
Unibet (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -17.61%E -3.71%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.30%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.35%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-04 22:59
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -20.21%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-04-04 23:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-04-04 23:00
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-04-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.64%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.4%2026-04-04 23:00
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34%1.7%2026-04-04 23:00
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.34%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08%4.1%2026-04-04 23:01