La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Querétaro v Toluca
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Querétaro (Casa)
Previsione 17.35%5.77quota equa
EV +7.54%
Vantaggio +1.22%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescita +0.109%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.32%17.27%17.33%19.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.415.506.2021.74%18.50%18.18%16.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Toluca (Trasferta)
Previsione 60.47%1.65quota equa
EV -4.45%
Vantaggio -2.82%
Kelly -7.68%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.95%60.50%60.60%62.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.26%66.67%63.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 22.18%4.51quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -0.390%
Kelly -0.504%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.43
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.17%22.24%22.07%23.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.104.104.4327.78%24.37%24.39%22.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.32%EV +7.54%E +1.22%K +1.45%G +0.109% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +2.34%E +0.396%K +0.477%G +0.011% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.06%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.59%EV -5.28%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.31%EV +1.99%E +0.338%K +0.408%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -8.69%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Casumo | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Unibet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| BetRivers | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 22:47 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -2.87%E -0.512%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -12.32%E -8.49%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| GTbets | 5.59I 17.89%NM 16.88%EV -3.04%E -0.544%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -7.20%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.92%E -8.97%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -20.14%E -5.59%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.08%E -5.32%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -10.50%E -7.10%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.35%EV -12.82%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.90%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.08%EV -13.53%E -9.46%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -17.61%E -3.71%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.30%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.35%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -20.21%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.34% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |