La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Querétaro v Toluca
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Querétaro (Local)
Predicción 17.35%5.77momio equitativo
EV +7.54%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.45%
Crecimiento +0.109%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.32%17.27%17.33%19.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.415.506.2021.74%18.50%18.18%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Toluca (Visitante)
Predicción 60.47%1.65momio equitativo
EV -4.45%
Ventaja -2.82%
Kelly -7.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.95%60.50%60.60%62.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.26%66.67%63.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.18%4.51momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.390%
Kelly -0.504%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.17%22.24%22.07%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.104.104.4327.78%24.37%24.39%22.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.32%EV +7.54%E +1.22%K +1.45%G +0.109% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Pinnacle | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +2.34%E +0.396%K +0.477%G +0.011% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.06%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.59%EV -5.28%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.31%EV +1.99%E +0.338%K +0.408%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| FanDuel | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -8.69%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Casumo | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Unibet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Grosvenor | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| BetRivers | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 22:47 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -2.87%E -0.512%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -12.32%E -8.49%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| GTbets | 5.59I 17.89%NM 16.88%EV -3.04%E -0.544%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betsson | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -7.20%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BoyleSports | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.92%E -8.97%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -20.14%E -5.59%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.08%E -5.32%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -10.50%E -7.10%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.35%EV -12.82%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.90%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.08%EV -13.53%E -9.46%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -17.61%E -3.71%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.30%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.35%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -20.21%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.34% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |