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Querétaro v Toluca
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Querétaro (Хозяева)
Прогноз 17.35%5.77справедливый коэффициент
EV +7.54%
Преимущество +1.22%
Kelly +1.45%
Рост +0.109%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.32%17.27%17.33%19.09%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.605.415.506.2021.74%18.50%18.18%16.13%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Toluca (Гости)
Прогноз 60.47%1.65справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.45%
Преимущество -2.82%
Kelly -7.68%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.58
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.95%60.50%60.60%62.08%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.421.511.501.5870.42%66.26%66.67%63.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 22.18%4.51справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.73%
Преимущество -0.390%
Kelly -0.504%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.43
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
21.17%22.24%22.07%23.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.604.104.104.4327.78%24.37%24.39%22.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Querétaro (Хозяева): 17.35%; Toluca (Гости): 60.47%; Ничья: 22.18%. Для исхода «Querétaro (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.77. 15 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.20, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +7.54%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.32%EV +7.54%E +1.22%K +1.45%G +0.109% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +4.07%E +0.678%K +0.814%G +0.033% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +2.34%E +0.396%K +0.477%G +0.011% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.06%EV -4.45%E -2.82%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.59%EV -5.28%E -1.24%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.31%EV +1.99%E +0.338%K +0.408%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.89%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.63%EV +0.775%E +0.133%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.55%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.81%EV -1.73%E -0.390%K -0.504%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.05%EV -8.69%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV +0.602%E +0.104%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.05%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 22:47 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.96%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -0.265%E -0.046%K -0.056%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.06%EV -2.87%E -0.512%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.01%EV -12.32%E -8.49%K -27.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.59I 17.89%NM 16.88%EV -3.04%E -0.544%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.10%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.39%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -10.16%E -2.51%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -4.60%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.99%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.01%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.38%E -3.13%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.33%EV -7.20%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.60%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.72%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -2.39%E -0.544%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.05%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.27%E -4.04%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.83%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.70%E -4.13%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -13.27%E -2.65%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.92%E -8.97%K -29.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -20.14%E -5.59%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -8.08%E -5.32%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.61%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.29%E -6.20%K -18.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -10.50%E -7.10%K -21.88%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.35%EV -12.82%E -3.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 22:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.90%EV -16.74%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.08%EV -13.53%E -9.46%K -31.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.03%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -17.61%E -3.71%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 59.30%EV -11.11%E -7.56%K -23.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.35%EV -13.49%E -3.46%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-04 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -20.21%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.95%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -11.27%E -2.82%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95% | 1.2% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.64% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92% | 1.4% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.85% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.81% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.34% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.08% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 23:01 |