Language:English
Querétaro v Necaxa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Querétaro (Local)
Prediction 39.08%2.56fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.605%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.78%39.18%39.14%40.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.332.302.5247.17%42.97%43.48%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Necaxa (Visit)
Prediction 33.42%2.99fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.631%
Kelly +0.938%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.17%33.28%33.44%34.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.792.803.0540.00%35.85%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.50%3.64fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.70%27.54%27.42%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.303.303.5434.72%30.32%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Querétaro (Local): 39.08%; Necaxa (Visit): 33.42%; Draw: 27.50%. For Necaxa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV +1.92%E +0.631%K +0.938%G +0.018% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV +1.92%E +0.631%K +0.938%G +0.018% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.67%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.22%EV -3.42%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.12%EV -2.63%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.98%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -12.86%E -5.77%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.66%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.66%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.80%EV -8.95%E -3.84%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.43%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.13%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.18%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.46%EV -5.43%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.35%EV -8.13%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 04:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 12:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 22:43 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.57%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.57%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%EV -6.60%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.43%EV -7.77%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 22:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 22:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 22:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 22:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 22:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.39%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 04:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.39%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 04:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-08 00:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -12.86%E -5.77%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.23%EV -11.44%E -3.55%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 22:33 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -17.15%E -8.09%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -20.79%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |