La escuela de los momiosQuerétaro v Necaxa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Querétaro (Local)
Predicción 39.08%2.56momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.605%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.78%39.18%39.14%40.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.332.302.5247.17%42.97%43.48%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Necaxa (Visitante)
Predicción 33.42%2.99momio equitativo
EV +1.92%
Ventaja +0.631%
Kelly +0.938%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.17%33.28%33.44%34.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.792.803.0540.00%35.85%35.71%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.50%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -0.744%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.70%27.54%27.42%29.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.5434.72%30.32%30.30%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV +1.92%E +0.631%K +0.938%G +0.018% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV +1.92%E +0.631%K +0.938%G +0.018% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| 1xBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.67%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.22%EV -3.42%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.12%EV -2.63%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.98%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -12.86%E -5.77%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.66%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.66%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.80%EV -8.95%E -3.84%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.43%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.13%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| GTbets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.18%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.46%EV -5.43%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.35%EV -8.13%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 04:30 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 12:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 22:43 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 22:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.57%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.57%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 22:09 |
| BetUS | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%EV -6.60%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.43%EV -7.77%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 22:35 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 22:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-11 22:54 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 22:53 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 22:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 22:35 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.39%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 04:30 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.39%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 04:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-08 00:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -12.86%E -5.77%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.23%EV -11.44%E -3.55%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 22:33 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -17.15%E -8.09%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -20.79%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-09 17:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 22:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 22:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 22:55 |