مدرسة الاحتمالات

Querétaro v Necaxa

البداية: 2026-04-11 23:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Querétaro (المضيف)

التنبؤ 39.08%2.56السعر العادل
EV -1.52%
الأفضلية -0.605%
Kelly -1.00%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.78%39.18%39.14%40.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.122.332.302.5247.17%42.97%43.48%39.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Necaxa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.42%2.99السعر العادل
EV +1.92%
الأفضلية +0.631%
Kelly +0.938%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.17%33.28%33.44%34.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.792.803.0540.00%35.85%35.71%32.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.50%3.64السعر العادل
EV -2.63%
الأفضلية -0.744%
Kelly -1.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.54

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.70%27.54%27.42%29.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.303.303.5434.72%30.32%30.30%28.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV +1.92%E +0.631%K +0.938%G +0.018%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:10
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV +1.92%E +0.631%K +0.938%G +0.018%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:10
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 22:09
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 22:10
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 22:10
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.67%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.22%EV -3.42%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.12%EV -2.63%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 22:55
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.98%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 22:45
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -12.86%E -5.77%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 22:10
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.66%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 22:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.66%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 22:45
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.80%EV -8.95%E -3.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.43%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.13%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 22:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:55
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.18%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.46%EV -5.43%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.35%EV -8.13%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 04:30
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 22:55
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 12:49
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 22:44
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 22:43
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 22:55
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 22:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 22:10
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.57%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.57%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 22:09
BetUS2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%EV -6.60%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.43%EV -7.77%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 22:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 22:45
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 23:05
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 22:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 22:54
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 22:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 22:54
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 22:53
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 22:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 22:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 22:54
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 22:35
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.39%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 04:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.39%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 04:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 22:44
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -12.86%E -5.77%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.23%EV -11.44%E -3.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 22:33
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-09 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -17.15%E -8.09%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-11 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -20.79%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-11 22:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-09 17:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-04-11 22:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-04-11 22:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-11 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-04-11 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-04-11 22:35
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-11 22:55