La scuola delle quote

Querétaro v Necaxa

Inizio: 2026-04-11 23:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Querétaro (Casa)

Previsione 39.08%2.56quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.605%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.78%39.18%39.14%40.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.122.332.302.5247.17%42.97%43.48%39.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Necaxa (Trasferta)

Previsione 33.42%2.99quota equa
EV +1.92%
Vantaggio +0.631%
Kelly +0.938%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.17%33.28%33.44%34.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.792.803.0540.00%35.85%35.71%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.50%3.64quota equa
EV -2.63%
Vantaggio -0.744%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.70%27.54%27.42%29.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.303.303.5434.72%30.32%30.30%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV +1.92%E +0.631%K +0.938%G +0.018%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:10
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV +1.92%E +0.631%K +0.938%G +0.018%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:10
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 22:09
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 22:10
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 22:10
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.67%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.22%EV -3.42%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.12%EV -2.63%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 22:55
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.98%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 22:45
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -12.86%E -5.77%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 22:10
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.66%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 22:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.66%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 22:45
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.80%EV -8.95%E -3.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.43%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.13%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 22:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:55
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.18%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.46%EV -5.43%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.35%EV -8.13%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 04:30
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 22:55
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 12:49
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 22:44
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 22:43
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 22:55
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 22:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 22:10
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.57%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.57%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 22:09
BetUS2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%EV -6.60%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.43%EV -7.77%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 22:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 22:45
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 23:05
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 22:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 22:54
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 22:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 22:54
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 22:53
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 22:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 22:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 22:54
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 22:35
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.39%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 04:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.39%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 04:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 22:44
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -12.86%E -5.77%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.23%EV -11.44%E -3.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 22:33
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-09 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -17.15%E -8.09%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-11 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -20.79%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-11 22:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-09 17:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-04-11 22:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-04-11 22:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-11 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-04-11 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-04-11 22:35
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-11 22:55