L’École des cotes

Querétaro v Necaxa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Querétaro (Local)

Prévision 39.08%2.56cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.605%
Kelly -1.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.78%39.18%39.14%40.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.332.302.5247.17%42.97%43.48%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Necaxa (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.42%2.99cote équitable
EV +1.92%
Avantage +0.631%
Kelly +0.938%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.17%33.28%33.44%34.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.792.803.0540.00%35.85%35.71%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.50%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -0.744%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.70%27.54%27.42%29.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.5434.72%30.32%30.30%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV +1.92%E +0.631%K +0.938%G +0.018%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:10
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.45%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV +1.92%E +0.631%K +0.938%G +0.018%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 22:10
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 22:10
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.59%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 22:09
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.41%EV -10.90%E -4.78%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -1.42%E -0.481%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 22:10
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 22:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -3.09%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 22:10
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.67%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.22%EV -3.42%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.12%EV -2.63%E -0.744%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 22:55
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.41%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.98%EV -4.83%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 22:45
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.47%EV -12.86%E -5.77%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.33%EV -3.76%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 22:10
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.66%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 22:45
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 38.34%EV -1.52%E -0.605%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.66%EV -4.09%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.00%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 22:45
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.80%EV -8.95%E -3.84%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.43%EV -4.43%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.77%EV -8.13%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 22:55
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -5.11%E -1.48%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 22:55
GTbets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.18%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.46%EV -5.43%E -1.92%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.35%EV -8.13%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 04:30
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.15%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.04%EV -5.76%E -2.04%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 22:55
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 12:49
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 22:44
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 22:43
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 22:55
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 22:10
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.29%EV -14.81%E -6.79%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.37%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 22:10
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.57%EV -5.43%E -2.24%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.57%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 22:09
BetUS2.39I 41.84%NM 38.61%EV -6.60%E -2.76%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.43%EV -7.77%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 22:55
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 22:45
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 22:54
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-08 23:05
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 22:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 22:54
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 22:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 22:54
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 22:53
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 22:45
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-11 22:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.17%E -3.48%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 22:54
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 22:35
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -12.11%E -4.61%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.39%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 04:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -7.39%E -3.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 04:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.24%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 22:44
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.74%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 39.31%EV -12.86%E -5.77%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.46%EV -12.45%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.23%EV -11.44%E -3.55%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 22:33
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-09 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 40.36%EV -17.15%E -8.09%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.91%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.74%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-11 22:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -12.07%E -5.37%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -20.79%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-11 22:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -14.03%E -6.38%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%EV -16.46%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%EV -11.99%E -3.75%K -5.45%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-09 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.03%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.93%0.9%2026-04-11 22:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.71%1.1%2026-04-11 22:50
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.22%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-04-11 22:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-04-11 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.52%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.31%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.17%1.4%2026-04-11 22:35
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-04-11 22:55