语言:简体中文
Puebla v Necaxa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Puebla (主队)
预测 42.17%2.37公平赔率
EV -2.16%
优势 -0.930%
Kelly -1.63%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.32
博彩公司预测分布
40.59%42.35%42.11%45.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.932.132.152.3251.81%46.87%46.51%43.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
Necaxa (客队)
预测 30.67%3.26公平赔率
EV +4.29%
优势 +1.26%
Kelly +1.79%
增长率 +0.077%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.94%30.56%30.71%31.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.073.063.4036.36%32.59%32.63%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 27.15%3.68公平赔率
EV -0.079%
优势 -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.68
博彩公司预测分布
25.80%27.09%27.19%28.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.423.453.6833.33%29.23%28.99%27.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Puebla (主队)：42.17%；Necaxa (客队)：30.67%；平局：27.15%。 对于“Necaxa (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.26。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.40，对应+4.29%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -12.28%E -5.90%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV +4.29%E +1.26%K +1.79%G +0.077% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -12.28%E -5.90%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV +4.29%E +1.26%K +1.79%G +0.077% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -0.309%E -0.095%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -0.309%E -0.095%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.55%EV -1.23%E -0.382%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -16.92%E -8.59%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -1.84%E -0.576%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -12.70%E -6.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 00:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.69%EV -18.61%E -9.64%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.08%EV -3.99%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.74%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.04%EV -2.79%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -5.52%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.11%EV -3.84%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.79%EV -7.36%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.09%EV -0.079%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.85%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.86%EV -11.21%E -3.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.60%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.51%EV -13.50%E -4.79%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -15.65%E -5.69%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |