مدرسة الاحتمالات

Puebla v Necaxa

البداية: 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Puebla (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.17%2.37السعر العادل
EV -2.16%
الأفضلية -0.930%
Kelly -1.63%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.59%42.35%42.11%45.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.932.132.152.3251.81%46.87%46.51%43.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Necaxa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.67%3.26السعر العادل
EV +4.29%
الأفضلية +1.26%
Kelly +1.79%
النمو +0.077%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.94%30.56%30.71%31.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.073.063.4036.36%32.59%32.63%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.15%3.68السعر العادل
EV -0.079%
الأفضلية -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.68

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.80%27.09%27.19%28.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.423.453.6833.33%29.23%28.99%27.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -12.28%E -5.90%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV +4.29%E +1.26%K +1.79%G +0.077%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:39
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -12.28%E -5.90%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV +4.29%E +1.26%K +1.79%G +0.077%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:39
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:39
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:39
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 00:40
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -0.309%E -0.095%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -0.309%E -0.095%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 00:40
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.55%EV -1.23%E -0.382%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 00:39
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -16.92%E -8.59%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -1.84%E -0.576%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 00:40
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -12.70%E -6.14%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 00:49
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 45.69%EV -18.61%E -9.64%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 00:39
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.08%EV -3.99%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.74%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 00:40
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.04%EV -2.79%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 00:45
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 00:39
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 00:54
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 00:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 00:29
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -5.52%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 00:39
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 00:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 00:55
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.11%EV -3.84%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.79%EV -7.36%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.09%EV -0.079%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 00:50
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 00:39
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 00:40
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 00:39
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 00:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 00:55
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 00:54
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 00:54
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 00:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 00:40
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.85%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.86%EV -11.21%E -3.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 00:39
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 00:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 00:54
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 00:40
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.60%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.51%EV -13.50%E -4.79%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 00:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 00:39
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:55
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:55
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -15.65%E -5.69%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-14 00:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-03-14 00:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-14 00:55