La escuela de los momiosPuebla v Necaxa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Puebla (Local)
Predicción 42.17%2.37momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.930%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.59%42.35%42.11%45.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.932.132.152.3251.81%46.87%46.51%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Necaxa (Visitante)
Predicción 30.67%3.26momio equitativo
EV +4.29%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +1.79%
Crecimiento +0.077%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.94%30.56%30.71%31.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.073.063.4036.36%32.59%32.63%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.15%3.68momio equitativo
EV -0.079%
Ventaja -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.80%27.09%27.19%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.423.453.6833.33%29.23%28.99%27.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -12.28%E -5.90%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV +4.29%E +1.26%K +1.79%G +0.077% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -12.28%E -5.90%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV +4.29%E +1.26%K +1.79%G +0.077% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Unibet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Casumo | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| betPARX | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -0.309%E -0.095%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -0.309%E -0.095%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.55%EV -1.23%E -0.382%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -16.92%E -8.59%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -1.84%E -0.576%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -12.70%E -6.14%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 00:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.69%EV -18.61%E -9.64%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| GTbets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.08%EV -3.99%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.74%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.04%EV -2.79%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -5.52%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.11%EV -3.84%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.79%EV -7.36%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.09%EV -0.079%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Fliff | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.85%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.86%EV -11.21%E -3.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 42.60%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.51%EV -13.50%E -4.79%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-14 00:39 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| William Hill | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 00:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -15.65%E -5.69%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-14 00:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 00:50 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 00:55 |