La scuola delle quote

Puebla v Necaxa

Inizio: 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Puebla (Casa)

Previsione 42.17%2.37quota equa
EV -2.16%
Vantaggio -0.930%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.59%42.35%42.11%45.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.932.132.152.3251.81%46.87%46.51%43.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Necaxa (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.67%3.26quota equa
EV +4.29%
Vantaggio +1.26%
Kelly +1.79%
Crescita +0.077%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.94%30.56%30.71%31.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.073.063.4036.36%32.59%32.63%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.15%3.68quota equa
EV -0.079%
Vantaggio -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.80%27.09%27.19%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.423.453.6833.33%29.23%28.99%27.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -12.28%E -5.90%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV +4.29%E +1.26%K +1.79%G +0.077%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:39
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -12.28%E -5.90%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV +4.29%E +1.26%K +1.79%G +0.077%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:39
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:39
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:39
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 00:40
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -0.309%E -0.095%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -0.309%E -0.095%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 00:40
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.55%EV -1.23%E -0.382%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 00:39
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -16.92%E -8.59%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -1.84%E -0.576%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 00:40
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -12.70%E -6.14%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 00:49
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 45.69%EV -18.61%E -9.64%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 00:39
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.08%EV -3.99%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.74%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 00:40
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.04%EV -2.79%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 00:45
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 00:39
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 00:54
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 00:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 00:29
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -5.52%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 00:39
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 00:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 00:55
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.11%EV -3.84%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.79%EV -7.36%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.09%EV -0.079%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 00:50
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 00:39
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 00:40
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 00:39
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 00:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 00:55
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 00:54
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 00:54
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 00:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 00:40
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.85%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.86%EV -11.21%E -3.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 00:39
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 00:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 00:54
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 00:40
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.60%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.51%EV -13.50%E -4.79%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 00:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 00:39
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:55
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:55
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -15.65%E -5.69%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-14 00:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-03-14 00:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-14 00:55