Школа коэффициентов

Puebla v Necaxa

Начало: 2026-03-14 01:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

48 букмекерских контор (16 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Puebla (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.17%2.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.16%
Преимущество -0.930%
Kelly -1.63%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.32

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.59%42.35%42.11%45.85%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.932.132.152.3251.81%46.87%46.51%43.10%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Necaxa (Гости)

Прогноз 30.67%3.26справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.29%
Преимущество +1.26%
Kelly +1.79%
Рост +0.077%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.94%30.56%30.71%31.99%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.753.073.063.4036.36%32.59%32.63%29.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 27.15%3.68справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.079%
Преимущество -0.022%
Kelly -0.030%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.68

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.80%27.09%27.19%28.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.003.423.453.6833.33%29.23%28.99%27.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -12.28%E -5.90%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV +4.29%E +1.26%K +1.79%G +0.077%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:39
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.67%EV -12.28%E -5.90%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV +4.29%E +1.26%K +1.79%G +0.077%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 00:39
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:39
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:39
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -13.97%E -6.85%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 00:40
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.85%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 00:40
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV +1.22%E +0.371%K +0.532%G +0.007%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -0.309%E -0.095%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -15.65%E -7.83%K -15.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -0.309%E -0.095%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 00:40
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.26%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.55%EV -1.23%E -0.382%K -0.554%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 00:39
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -16.92%E -8.59%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -1.84%E -0.576%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 00:40
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -12.70%E -6.14%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 00:49
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 45.69%EV -18.61%E -9.64%K -20.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -3.38%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.32%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 00:39
GTbets2.18I 45.87%NM 43.18%EV -8.06%E -3.70%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.08%EV -3.99%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.74%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 00:40
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.23%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.04%EV -2.79%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 00:45
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 00:40
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.63%EV -2.16%E -0.930%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.16%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.61%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 00:39
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 00:54
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -2.25%E -0.625%K -0.866%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 00:40
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.91%E -1.58%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 00:29
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 42.68%EV -8.48%E -3.91%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -5.52%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 00:54
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 00:39
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 00:55
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -6.37%E -2.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.44%E -2.11%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 00:55
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.11%EV -3.84%E -1.69%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.79%EV -7.36%E -2.44%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.09%EV -0.079%E -0.022%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 00:50
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 00:39
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 00:40
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 00:39
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -5.11%E -2.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 00:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 00:55
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.32%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 00:54
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 42.40%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.98%E -2.66%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 00:54
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.51%E -3.22%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -4.97%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 00:40
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.40%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 00:40
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.85%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -11.05%E -3.81%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.86%EV -11.21%E -3.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-14 00:39
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.66%E -4.05%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 00:40
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -7.22%E -3.28%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 00:54
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -13.54%E -6.61%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.85%EV -12.58%E -4.41%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.25%EV -9.04%E -2.70%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-14 00:40
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.60%EV -14.81%E -7.33%K -14.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.51%EV -13.50%E -4.79%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 00:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.68%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-14 00:39
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:55
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:54
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:55
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.99%EV -9.33%E -4.34%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -14.11%E -5.04%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -13.11%E -4.10%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-14 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -11.44%E -5.45%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -15.65%E -5.69%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -18.54%E -6.18%K -9.27%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-14 00:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25%0.5%2026-03-14 00:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-03-14 00:50
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-14 00:55