Language:English
Pachuca v Puebla
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pachuca (Local)
Prediction 59.53%1.68fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.712%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.32%59.48%59.54%63.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.531.541.6672.46%65.19%64.72%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Puebla (Visit)
Prediction 17.24%5.80fair odd
EV +7.77%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.115%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.04%17.28%17.13%19.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.455.476.2522.22%18.35%18.26%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.23%4.31fair odd
EV +0.575%
Edge +0.133%
Kelly +0.173%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.86%23.24%23.32%25.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.984.004.3328.57%25.14%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pachuca (Local): 59.53%; Puebla (Visit): 17.24%; Draw: 23.23%. For Puebla (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.80. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.10%EV -11.30%E -7.58%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +7.77%E +1.24%K +1.48%G +0.115% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.122%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 02:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.10%EV -11.30%E -7.58%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +7.77%E +1.24%K +1.48%G +0.115% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.122%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-18 02:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -7.73%E -4.99%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-17 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 01:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.22%EV +2.60%E +0.436%K +0.525%G +0.014% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +0.575%E +0.133%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.22%EV +2.60%E +0.436%K +0.525%G +0.014% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +0.575%E +0.133%K +0.173%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-08-18 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.29%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +1.73%E +0.294%K +0.354%G +0.006% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.36%EV -4.07%E -0.986%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-18 02:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.18%EV +0.872%E +0.149%K +0.180%G +0.002% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 02:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 02:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 02:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-18 02:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -1.71%E -0.301%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.44%E -0.614%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 02:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.94%EV -1.18%E -0.712%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.51I 18.15%NM 17.46%EV -4.99%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.60%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 02:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.52%E -6.26%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 00:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.14%EV -17.85%E -12.93%K -46.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.59%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-08-18 02:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -6.02%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.38%E -4.55%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.58%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.04%EV -7.75%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.80%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 17.77%EV -9.30%E -1.77%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.43%EV -7.32%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 02:48 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.97%EV -11.90%E -8.04%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.11%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.91%EV -15.22%E -4.17%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.94%E -3.76%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 02:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.13%E -4.57%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 02:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.71%E -7.14%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-18 01:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -8.32%E -5.41%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.06%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-18 02:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-18 02:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.51%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 02:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -22.41%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 02:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.64% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55% | 1.1% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53% | 1.2% | 2026-08-18 02:55 |