Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pachuca v Puebla

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-18 03:00 UTC

Score final : Pachuca 2–3 Puebla

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pachuca (Local)

Prévision 59.53%1.68cote équitable
EV -1.18%
Avantage -0.712%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.32%59.48%59.54%63.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.381.531.541.6672.46%65.19%64.72%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Puebla (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.24%5.80cote équitable
EV +7.77%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.115%

avec la cote maximale 6.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.04%17.28%17.13%19.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.455.476.2522.22%18.35%18.26%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.23%4.31cote équitable
EV +0.575%
Avantage +0.133%
Kelly +0.173%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.86%23.24%23.32%25.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.984.004.3328.57%25.14%25.00%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pachuca (Local) : 59.53% ; Puebla (Visiteur) : 17.24% ; Match nul : 23.23%. Pour Puebla (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.80. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.25, soit une espérance positive de +7.77%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.10%EV -11.30%E -7.58%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +7.77%E +1.24%K +1.48%G +0.115%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.122%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 02:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.10%EV -11.30%E -7.58%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV +7.77%E +1.24%K +1.48%G +0.115%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -0.122%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 02:14
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.45%EV -7.73%E -4.99%K -14.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.87%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 13:29
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:40
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:34
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.70%EV -12.49%E -8.50%K -26.58%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV +3.46%E +0.576%K +0.692%G +0.024%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 01:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.22%EV +2.60%E +0.436%K +0.525%G +0.014%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +0.575%E +0.133%K +0.173%G +0.001%3.6%2026-08-18 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.48%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.22%EV +2.60%E +0.436%K +0.525%G +0.014%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.29%EV +0.575%E +0.133%K +0.173%G +0.001%3.6%2026-08-18 01:00
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.29%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.35%EV +1.73%E +0.294%K +0.354%G +0.006%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.36%EV -4.07%E -0.986%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-18 02:45
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.54%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.18%EV +0.872%E +0.149%K +0.180%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:49
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.26%EV -14.87%E -10.40%K -34.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.48%EV -0.852%E -0.148%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.26%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-18 02:14
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.26%EV -1.71%E -0.301%K -0.365%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 02:49
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.76%EV -3.44%E -0.614%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 02:50
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.94%EV -1.18%E -0.712%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.46%EV -4.99%E -0.906%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.60%EV -9.18%E -2.35%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-18 02:54
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 02:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.52%E -6.26%K -18.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 00:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.14%EV -17.85%E -12.93%K -46.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.59%EV -5.16%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.27%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-18 02:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.00%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.00%EV -6.02%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -10.34%E -2.68%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 02:54
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -6.89%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -16.38%E -4.55%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 02:55
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.58%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.04%EV -7.75%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-18 02:49
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.80%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 17.77%EV -9.30%E -1.77%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.43%EV -7.32%E -1.84%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-18 02:54
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -3.56%E -2.20%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 02:54
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -5.35%E -3.36%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 02:48
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -9.47%E -1.80%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 02:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.97%EV -11.90%E -8.04%K -24.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.11%EV -12.06%E -2.36%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.91%EV -15.22%E -4.17%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-18 02:54
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 02:54
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.77%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 02:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -5.94%E -3.76%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -2.44%E -0.582%K -0.764%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 02:50
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 02:49
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.13%E -4.57%K -12.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-18 02:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -9.41%E -2.41%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-18 02:49
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.71%E -7.14%K -21.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.77%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 01:14
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -11.74%E -3.09%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 02:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.00%EV -8.32%E -5.41%K -15.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.06%E -3.80%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-18 02:50
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-18 02:50
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.92%E -5.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.78%E -2.76%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-18 02:49
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -4.75%E -2.97%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -15.51%E -3.17%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -10.57%E -2.75%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 02:49
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 02:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 02:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.42%EV -17.23%E -3.59%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -18.70%E -5.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-18 02:54
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -6.54%E -4.16%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -22.41%E -4.98%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -12.90%E -3.44%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-18 02:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-08-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%0.8%2026-08-18 02:54
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.41%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.77%0.9%2026-08-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.64%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-08-18 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-08-18 02:55
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-08-18 02:55